inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement9.1 [130] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +49.7%
Charlotte Bobcats 105 Comeback36.7 [20] LVPAntoine Walker (MIA): -40.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.500,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.2,0.32,0.50.130.390.022361%0.553-0.061127%-0.13
Jason Williams0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.170.060.120.011962%0.303-0.1210%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.010.03876%0.102-0.05580%-0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00733%-0.061-0.024100%0.02
Derek Anderson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.060.01925%-0.1300.00250%-0.01
Antoine Walker-0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.41-0.03-0.380.001744%-0.212-0.202100%0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.130.130.150.000.021086%0.151-0.02250%-0.10
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.050.00475%0.121-0.034100%0.03
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00550%0.0400.002100%0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,-0.02-0.020.12-0.120.021465%0.161-0.181267%-0.01
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.07-0.002052%-0.014-0.096100%0.04
Jumaine Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.021129%-0.131-0.02250%-0.01
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.25,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.03-0.22-0.011338%-0.2400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.22.530.915.826.02.836.71.711.5153.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +64.8%
CHA -16.2%
MIA +6.3%
CHA -12.7%
MIA +7.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game16.215.415.6105.0105.0104.4
season15.514.8106.1100.5
opponent15.415.5104.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.016.516.314.521.116.2
CHA14.015.515.016.916.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams86860.75-0.251.000.499-81715.917.9-2.0115.713.71.98
Antoine Walker67680.67-0.170.840.3511-102116.415.90.5115.814.61.17
Gary Payton69680.65-0.150.810.486-51116.016.6-0.5515.615.00.62
Udonis Haslem80760.62-0.120.740.6201-115.718.1-2.4315.315.9-0.60
Alonzo Mourning21200.320.180.150.243-2515.916.3-0.4015.415.4-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal80800.180.32-0.150.24-23-516.315.90.4015.415.40.03
Shandon Anderson13140.100.40-0.300.0710118.515.92.5815.615.40.18
Jason Kapono1110-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-12-315.516.3-0.8614.715.5-0.80
James Posey3130-0.320.82-1.140.03-1213-2516.216.20.0114.315.9-1.55
Derek Anderson4748-0.420.92-1.33-0.12-1011-2117.215.41.8215.115.7-0.57

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jake Voskuhl36360.33-0.831.160.0410-112114.416.0-1.6115.716.5-0.77
Kareem Rush20200.19-0.690.880.190-1115.915.30.6015.716.3-0.58
Matt Carroll19180.03-0.530.550.11-32-516.015.30.7215.516.4-0.87
Melvin Ely4039-0.25-0.250.00-0.250-1115.915.10.8015.516.7-1.15
Brevin Knight8992-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.574-5915.614.31.2916.513.13.41
Primoz Brezec5051-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.19-98-1715.915.00.9216.515.90.55
Jumaine Jones7375-0.600.10-0.70-0.600-1114.817.1-2.3716.216.3-0.17
Gerald Wallace8687-0.610.11-0.73-0.55-21-315.315.9-0.5916.613.63.07
Raymond Felton8787-0.680.18-0.86-0.53-54-915.614.21.3716.116.8-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 103, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,091.0%
UTA 110, SAC 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,090.8%
NOP 123, NYK 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,090.5%