inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 97 Excitement8.4 [157] MVPChucky Atkins (DET): +21.8%
Detroit Pistons 93 Comeback128.9 [11] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -34.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.010.150.01467%0.201-0.041100%0.00
Anthony Mason0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.09-0.080.14-0.02747%0.0900.001662%0.01
Eddie Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.021660%0.081-0.031080%0.09
Anthony Carter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01757%0.041-0.0100%0.00
A.C. Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01850%0.0200.00450%-0.00
Eddie House-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.01819%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Brian Grant-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.070.021158%-0.023-0.092100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.011745%-0.044-0.104100%0.04

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.220.220.090.11-0.022860%0.273-0.06425%-0.05
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01475%0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.05-0.03950%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.07-0.15-0.001030%-0.201-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.34-0.34-0.23-0.16-0.042334%-0.292-0.051580%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.52.527.416.623.42.434.62.314.3151.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.6%
MIA +35.0%
DET -1.9%
DET -4.1%
DET -4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game16.517.215.5102.198.9100.9
season16.314.398.497.9
opponent15.416.199.696.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.918.420.215.211.816.5
DET16.418.615.817.518.217.2

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 110, OKC 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.43,0.42,092.2%
NJN 103, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,092.1%
NYK 112, ATL 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,090.9%