NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	8.8 [135]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +37.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	624.0 [1]		LVP	Nate Robinson (OKC): -32.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.16,0.37	-0.01	0.38	-0.00	11	53%	0.46	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.12
John Salmons	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32	0.08	0.24	-0.00	10	62%	0.35	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.08
Ersan Ilyasova	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	74%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.11	0.03	10	55%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	13	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	0.02	9	56%	-0.05	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	83%	0.20	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	92%	0.24	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	48%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	11	46%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.32	-0.32	-0.08	-0.24	-0.00	11	29%	-0.28	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.6	15.7	22.0	1.8	30.3	1.5	11.4	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -15.4%

MIL +54.2%

OKC -14.5%

MIL +22.9%

MIL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	OKC	NBA	MIL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.7	15.5	101.9	100.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.0		100.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.5	13.9	15.8	12.8	12.1	14.0
OKC	16.1	14.9	14.8	17.2	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	59	58	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.45	13	-9	22	12.9	15.4	-2.52	16.6	14.7	1.90
Larry Sanders	59	56	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-9	22	13.0	15.2	-2.22	16.5	14.9	1.60
Ersan Ilyasova	68	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	13.2	15.4	-2.21	16.7	14.1	2.57
Brandon Jennings	75	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.49	6	-2	8	14.1	13.7	0.41	15.6	16.1	-0.53
John Salmons	67	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	2	0	14.6	13.0	1.63	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Earl Boykins	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	2	0	12.5	14.2	-1.73	17.9	15.4	2.49
Corey Maggette	40	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.16	2	2	0	12.9	14.7	-1.80	16.0	15.6	0.43
Keyon Dooling	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	14.6	13.9	0.76	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	15.3	13.1	2.17	14.9	16.3	-1.36
Drew Gooden	45	46	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	13	-22	15.3	13.1	2.23	14.2	16.9	-2.74
Carlos Delfino	50	51	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	13	-22	15.4	12.8	2.66	15.2	16.2	-0.95

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	43	42	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.03	19	-23	42	15.1	16.2	-1.07	15.5	13.1	2.40
Kendrick Perkins	43	43	0.53	-1.03	1.55	-0.00	18	-22	40	14.7	16.4	-1.65	15.3	13.2	2.11
Thabo Sefolosha	43	43	0.53	-1.03	1.55	-0.00	18	-22	40	14.7	16.4	-1.65	15.3	13.2	2.11
Kevin Durant	46	45	0.52	-1.02	1.54	-0.01	18	-22	40	15.3	16.0	-0.67	15.5	13.0	2.54
Serge Ibaka	48	47	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.06	10	-14	24	15.0	16.3	-1.33	15.4	12.9	2.51
James Harden	48	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.23	-9	5	-14	16.4	15.2	1.22	13.2	14.7	-1.43
Eric Maynor	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	4	-12	14.9	16.0	-1.11	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Nazr Mohammed	62	65	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.43	-14	10	-24	16.8	14.3	2.49	13.0	15.5	-2.53
Nate Robinson	38	41	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.42	-15	11	-26	17.0	15.0	1.99	12.6	14.9	-2.33
Royal Ivey	16	17	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.59	-13	9	-22	16.6	15.6	1.06	12.4	14.3	-1.90
Daequan Cook	59	61	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.39	-22	18	-40	15.9	15.4	0.50	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Byron Mullens	59	61	-1.04	0.54	-1.59	-0.40	-22	18	-40	15.9	15.4	0.50	13.1	15.2	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.27,0	92.2%
NYK 112, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,0	89.9%
SAC 118, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0	89.7%