NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	5.9 [678]		MVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): +49.2%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	587.2 [6]		LVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHX): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43	0.04	0.39	0.01	13	61%	0.45	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.15	0.05	28	62%	0.30	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.01	0.21	0.00	13	53%	0.24	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Al Horford	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.02	0.14	-0.01	7	47%	0.15	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.19	0.29	-0.01	17	69%	0.49	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0,0.06,0.06,0.31,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.02	30	58%	0.26	6	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	3	33%	0.01	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.02	10	58%	0.03	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	14	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	26.4	15.3	25.6	2.5	37.6	1.8	7.3	145.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.4%

PHX -24.2%

BOS +19.3%

BOS +2.3%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	15.5	14.3	105.5	98.2	109.3
season	13.9	14.4		109.9	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.7		114.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	16.1	13.3	11.1	12.4	13.3	13.3
PHX	13.2	11.6	18.9	18.9	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	59	61	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.71	9	-2	11	12.9	13.8	-0.92	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Kyrie Irving	89	90	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.61	7	0	7	13.5	12.4	1.07	15.8	14.3	1.47
Jayson Tatum	60	60	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-8	23	13.7	12.8	0.94	15.6	15.4	0.19
Jaylen Brown	82	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-1	9	12.1	16.8	-4.69	15.7	14.7	1.02
Al Horford	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-7	21	13.5	13.0	0.41	16.6	13.8	2.82
Semi Ojeleye	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	5	-3	12.0	13.5	-1.48	18.4	15.1	3.38
Terry Rozier	44	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	13	-19	14.6	12.4	2.13	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Guerschon Yabusele	11	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	11.1	13.5	-2.44	12.2	15.9	-3.76
Aron Baynes	18	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	18	-29	15.5	12.9	2.64	12.0	16.1	-4.11
Gordon Hayward	51	50	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.22	0	7	-7	13.8	12.9	0.92	16.1	15.0	1.13
Marcus Smart	56	58	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.44	-2	9	-11	13.1	13.5	-0.37	15.7	15.2	0.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	31	33	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-11	15	13.6	16.2	-2.63	13.9	13.0	0.84
Elie Okobo	22	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-7	7	13.0	16.1	-3.03	14.9	12.9	2.05
Mikal Bridges	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	-4	1	14.4	15.9	-1.44	13.1	13.4	-0.30
Josh Jackson	12	11	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-7	7	11.4	16.0	-4.55	15.6	13.0	2.61
Ryan Anderson	32	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.29	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.5	0.08	13.4	13.2	0.16
T.J. Warren	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-8	9	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.2	13.5	-0.27
Devin Booker	89	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	-5	3	15.5	15.3	0.26	13.1	14.2	-1.17
Trevor Ariza	86	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	-1	-5	16.3	12.6	3.77	13.0	14.2	-1.23
Isaiah Canaan	87	85	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	2	-11	16.1	13.2	2.90	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Deandre Ayton	80	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	4	-15	16.2	13.6	2.63	13.0	13.9	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.38,0.11,0.02,0.16,0	92.3%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	91.1%
NOP 123, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,0	88.4%