NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	9.4 [55]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +19.5%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	3.8 [364]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -40.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,0.06,0.21,0.08	0.00	0.09	0.01	16	52%	0.15	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
William Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	64%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	12	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.07	-0.02	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Carr	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.17,-0.28,-0.4	-0.08	-0.30	0.02	18	32%	-0.40	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.06

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.2	0.20	0.00	0.19	-0.00	10	59%	0.27	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	14	57%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.11,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	20	58%	0.25	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	13	57%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derek Strong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	55%	-0.00	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	47%	-0.02	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	7	20%	-0.11	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.5	28.6	15.6	30.3	1.7	33.3	135.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +65.6%

ORL +2.1%

ORL +9.3%

NJN -35.4%

ORL +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.8	102.1	104.2	99.6
season	15.0	16.1		96.5	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		95.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	14.0	11.5	18.0	14.2
ORL	15.9	16.7	15.2	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	37	36	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-10	18	11.7	15.7	-4.02	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Elliot Perry	24	23	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-5	8	12.2	14.9	-2.71	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Lucious Harris	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.09	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.9	1.23	15.2	16.0	-0.75
William Cunningham	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-3	4	11.7	14.4	-2.70	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Chris Carr	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-9	16	13.4	14.8	-1.32	15.0	16.4	-1.49
Jamie Feick	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	4	-10	14.7	12.2	2.51	16.0	15.1	0.86
Stephon Marbury	60	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.54	-2	0	-2	14.7	13.4	1.29	16.3	14.9	1.44
Kendall Gill	64	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	14.9	12.8	2.08	16.3	14.8	1.53
Jayson Williams	67	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	5	-12	15.0	12.3	2.66	15.9	15.6	0.34
Kerry Kittles	83	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.5	-0.30	16.0	14.7	1.20

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	82	80	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-10	22	15.5	17.6	-2.07	14.2	14.2	0.01
Ike Austin	59	58	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-11	24	16.2	15.2	0.91	14.1	14.3	-0.15
Anfernee Hardaway	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.51	2	0	2	15.8	15.8	0.02	14.8	11.8	2.94
Horace Grant	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	15.9	15.5	0.45	14.8	12.7	2.03
Darrell Armstrong	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	15.4	16.6	-1.22	14.6	13.5	1.08
Dominique Wilkins	28	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	1	0	15.0	16.1	-1.18	12.9	14.8	-1.86
Derek Strong	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	18.8	15.3	3.52	12.8	14.4	-1.56
Dan Schayes	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.10	17.1	14.0	3.18
Matt Harpring	59	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	10	-18	16.3	15.0	1.26	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Michael Doleac	25	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	15.4	16.0	-0.60	13.3	14.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.54,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	90.2%
CLE 76, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.33,0.42,1	90.1%
CHH 84, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.45,0.24,0.27,1	90.0%