NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	9.6 [71]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +36.4%
New Orleans Hornets	97		Comeback	6.8 [336]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -26.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	8	80%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Sean May	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.13
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.18	0.06	-0.23	0.01	13	65%	0.04	3	-0.21	8	87%	0.04
Kevin Martin	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	29	34%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	16	27%	-0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.41,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.25	0.02	14	72%	0.52	4	-0.16	15	93%	0.12
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	8	65%	0.23	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	0.00	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	12	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	6	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	31.2	15.5	24.4	2.7	34.0	135.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +64.3%

NOH +22.5%

SAC -44.4%

NOH +6.8%

NOH +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	18.0	14.3	15.3	102.2	110.2	106.0
season	15.2	15.5		103.7	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.5	17.6	18.8	18.3	18.0
NOH	15.2	13.0	14.6	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	33	33	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-12	19	17.8	18.2	-0.45	15.4	13.6	1.84
Sean May	40	39	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-13	21	17.3	18.7	-1.39	16.9	12.2	4.67
Beno Udrih	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-7	9	19.7	17.2	2.48	15.4	13.7	1.70
Spencer Hawes	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	1	-7	19.7	17.3	2.42	11.7	15.4	-3.65
Jon Brockman	35	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	19.0	17.5	1.52	14.2	14.3	-0.19
Kevin Martin	80	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	17.8	19.8	-1.97	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Omri Casspi	22	19	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	16.0	18.7	-2.71	12.2	14.8	-2.63
Jason Thompson	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	0	-5	17.8	19.3	-1.54	14.4	13.9	0.49
Tyreke Evans	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	5	-15	17.4	19.7	-2.32	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Andres Nocioni	44	44	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	5	-15	18.9	17.2	1.65	13.7	14.8	-1.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	57	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	13.9	14.9	-0.97	16.8	20.3	-3.47
Chris Paul	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	13.8	15.9	-2.11	17.7	19.2	-1.57
Peja Stojakovic	35	38	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-2	9	14.8	13.9	0.83	20.6	16.2	4.43
David West	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	3	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.34	17.9	18.5	-0.58
Emeka Okafor	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	14.1	14.8	-0.74	16.6	21.5	-4.86
Hilton Armstrong	25	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-2	9	14.8	14.1	0.74	21.2	16.8	4.42
James Posey	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	13.9	14.6	-0.74	18.0	18.1	-0.04
Darius Songaila	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	2	1	14.5	14.2	0.34	18.5	17.9	0.58
Bobby Brown	27	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	1	3	14.8	14.0	0.78	20.5	16.8	3.72
Morris Peterson	36	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	14	-23	15.3	13.6	1.70	16.2	19.2	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	92.7%
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	91.7%
POR 96, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1	91.5%