NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	8.5 [201]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +47.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	100		Comeback	4.5 [341]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -12.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.01	15	72%	0.30	5	-0.22	10	70%	-0.05
Raul Neto	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.04	4	75%	0.10	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	12	56%	-0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.12	-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	18	49%	0.13	3	-0.26	7	71%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.47	0.47	0.06	0.41	-0.00	15	53%	0.47	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.17	5	-0.24	4	75%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	10	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	20.5	2.5	41.2	132.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +15.7%

UTA -0.1%

UTA -4.8%

NOP +39.0%

NOP +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	17.9	13.6	14.9	105.5	108.7	105.1
season	16.3	14.3		104.6	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.9	20.6	16.5	15.2	17.9
NOP	14.4	13.7	13.5	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	61	63	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-8	12	18.2	17.3	0.88	14.4	11.9	2.50
Trevor Booker	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.22	-4	0	-4	18.8	17.2	1.60	14.0	13.4	0.64
Erick Green	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	22.4	17.5	4.92	10.7	13.8	-3.13
Trey Lyles	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	22.8	17.5	5.29	9.7	13.9	-4.22
Gordon Hayward	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-6	8	17.4	20.2	-2.77	13.5	14.0	-0.47
Joe Ingles	20	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	5	-14	19.3	17.5	1.87	13.6	13.6	0.03
Rudy Gobert	63	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	17.4	19.0	-1.55	13.3	14.4	-1.18
Rodney Hood	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-3	2	17.6	18.7	-1.02	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Chris Johnson	42	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.36	-5	1	-6	16.6	19.0	-2.45	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Derrick Favors	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-1	-2	17.8	18.5	-0.71	14.3	10.8	3.49

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	60	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-9	22	12.9	15.0	-2.13	17.9	18.0	-0.11
Ryan Anderson	47	46	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-12	28	12.7	14.5	-1.77	17.7	18.1	-0.39
Alexis Ajinca	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-9	22	14.4	13.1	1.33	20.0	16.5	3.49
Alonzo Gee	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	-4	12	14.3	13.2	1.10	19.1	17.1	1.93
Dante Cunningham	58	57	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.40	-5	9	-14	13.1	14.4	-1.27	16.9	19.5	-2.52
Toney Douglas	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-5	14	14.2	13.2	1.04	19.1	17.0	2.03
Norris Cole	49	46	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	11	-18	13.4	13.9	-0.47	16.2	19.6	-3.47
Anthony Davis	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.46	-10	14	-24	13.5	13.8	-0.32	17.0	20.5	-3.54
Bryce Dejean-Jones	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	14.4	13.1	1.32	18.8	17.3	1.52
Omer Asik	33	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	13	-22	14.3	13.2	1.13	18.2	17.7	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1	92.5%
SAC 92, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	91.7%
ATL 86, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.57,0.42,1	91.4%