NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	8.9 [127]		MVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): +40.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	6.6 [122]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -22.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.15	0.01	10	73%	0.25	3	-0.08	13	77%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.11	3	-0.17	7	71%	-0.06
Steven Smith	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.13	0.07	-0.21	0.00	13	62%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	10	50%	-0.04	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	10	50%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.41	0.41	0.12	0.31	0.03	16	73%	0.46	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.01	18	60%	0.35	3	-0.13	9	56%	-0.04
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	61%	0.11	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.08
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	10	43%	-0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	30.2	15.5	27.3	2.4	35.4	138.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.9%

MIN +18.7%

MIN +5.7%

POR -2.3%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.2	106.7	108.9	101.7
season	15.9	15.1		105.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	16.7	17.8	17.0	16.7
MIN	17.4	14.0	15.0	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	57	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-11	20	17.4	15.5	1.87	14.4	16.7	-2.32
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	5	-12	15.1	16.9	-1.83	15.3	15.3	0.04
Damon Stoudamire	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-9	16	16.7	16.7	0.05	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Steven Smith	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.52	10	-12	22	17.0	15.5	1.48	15.8	13.4	2.45
Bonzi Wells	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.18	-14	12	-26	16.7	16.7	0.04	16.0	14.9	1.10
Greg Anthony	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	7	-16	16.7	16.7	-0.05	16.8	14.6	2.21
Rasheed Wallace	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	16.9	15.1	1.83	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Detlef Schrempf	33	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	9	-20	15.5	17.4	-1.87	16.7	14.4	2.32
Scottie Pippen	81	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-2	2	16.4	19.3	-2.93	14.6	20.6	-6.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	46	47	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.56	9	-7	16	15.1	15.5	-0.35	15.9	17.6	-1.78
Sam Mitchell	59	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.59	-1	3	-4	14.2	17.5	-3.33	17.1	16.0	1.04
Malik Sealy	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	1	0	15.6	14.0	1.60	17.2	14.2	3.06
Terrell Brandon	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.16	16.9	15.0	1.89
Kevin Garnett	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	4	-6	15.1	16.5	-1.48	17.0	15.0	1.99
Anthony Peeler	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-5	12	16.3	14.1	2.16	15.7	18.0	-2.29
William Avery	9	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-3	8	15.4	15.3	0.16	15.0	16.9	-1.89
Rasho Nesterovic	39	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	6	-10	14.3	16.0	-1.71	18.4	15.5	2.89
Dean Garrett	18	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.18	-2	4	-6	18.7	14.4	4.28	13.2	17.5	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	92.9%
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	92.5%
SAS 86, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.42,1	92.1%