NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Excitement	8.9 [143]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +15.6%
Detroit Pistons	79		Comeback	5.5 [405]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -44.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.20	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.41	-0.11	-0.30	-0.00	9	22%	-0.28	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.45	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.45	-0.14	-0.34	-0.03	19	42%	-0.25	6	-0.20	7	71%	-0.07

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	10	73%	0.39	2	-0.23	2	50%	-0.06
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.10
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	13	32%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	14	41%	0.02	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	7	76%	0.08	5	-0.25	3	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	8	6%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	5.2	29.6	20.4	29.5	3.5	42.0	158.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +80.7%

CLE -10.0%

DET +1.0%

CLE -23.3%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	17.3	15.4	90.5	96.3	104.5
season	16.0	16.8		103.2	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.5	15.6	19.5	18.0	17.4
DET	17.8	18.0	17.4	16.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	20	20	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-8	13	18.1	17.1	0.97	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Donyell Marshall	35	36	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.20	9	-12	21	17.0	17.6	-0.56	16.7	17.8	-1.05
Daniel Gibson	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-7	11	17.8	17.1	0.68	16.7	17.8	-1.14
Eric Snow	2	1	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	14.5	17.4	-2.93	8.0	17.5	-9.46
Drew Gooden	30	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	8	-19	17.0	17.6	-0.61	19.0	16.5	2.57
Anderson Varejao	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.48	8	-11	19	17.6	17.0	0.61	16.5	19.0	-2.57
Sasha Pavlovic	55	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	1	-5	17.1	17.9	-0.88	17.8	16.5	1.33
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	48	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	7	-17	17.5	17.2	0.28	17.8	16.7	1.05
LeBron James	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	3	-9	17.5	15.9	1.64	17.3	18.0	-0.71
Larry Hughes	65	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	5	-13	17.2	17.9	-0.76	17.9	15.4	2.57

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	70	72	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-11	25	17.4	17.2	0.20	17.3	17.8	-0.56
Chauncey Billups	74	74	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-8	19	17.4	16.7	0.66	17.4	17.0	0.41
Richard Hamilton	62	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-6	15	17.5	16.9	0.58	17.2	17.9	-0.76
Rasheed Wallace	56	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-3	9	18.0	16.0	1.96	17.3	17.5	-0.21
Chris Webber	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-10	23	17.6	17.1	0.46	18.0	16.8	1.21
Lindsey Hunter	9	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	9	-15	15.0	17.6	-2.63	15.5	17.6	-2.19
Ronald Murray	13	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	18.3	17.2	1.15	16.9	17.4	-0.51
Antonio McDyess	30	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	18.3	16.8	1.51	16.1	18.0	-1.88
Carlos Delfino	19	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	15	-27	16.1	17.7	-1.61	18.9	16.9	2.00
Jason Maxiell	37	38	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	11	-19	15.8	18.6	-2.79	17.9	16.9	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.54,0.33,0.42,1	90.1%
PHX 105, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.2,0.13,1	90.0%
MIL 89, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.35,0.58,1	88.6%