inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 82 Excitement9.1 [70] MVPJohn Wallace (TOR): +8.8%
Toronto Raptors 89 Comeback1.8 [388] LVPDerrick Coleman (CHH): -38.9%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Shackleford0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.001154%0.082-0.042100%0.05
Chuck Person-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Chucky Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.04-0.001059%0.032-0.07250%-0.03
Ricky Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001243%-0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Elden Campbell-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12-0.07-0.07-0.021241%-0.1200.00837%-0.08
David Wesley-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.01668%0.034-0.15786%0.02
Bobby Phills-0.270,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27-0.14-0.15-0.01833%-0.182-0.09850%-0.11
Derrick Coleman-0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.39,-0.39-0.21-0.20-0.021131%-0.156-0.244100%0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.010.08-0.011155%0.121-0.03978%-0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01575%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.00-0.041255%0.182-0.15786%0.10
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.01558%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.120.08-0.021941%0.063-0.08683%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00467%-0.013-0.054100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.08-0.00525%-0.073-0.12250%-0.01
Charles Oakley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.09-0.01725%-0.103-0.112100%0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.10-0.001025%-0.201-0.024100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.92.328.316.427.52.445.3150.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +9.9%
TOR +36.3%
CHH -2.4%
TOR +10.7%
CHH -4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHTORNBACHHTORNBA
this game15.514.815.886.393.799.6
season15.715.699.299.0
opponent15.915.5101.299.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH16.215.716.813.815.5
TOR13.214.917.513.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Shackleford17160.11-0.610.720.110-7715.815.50.3415.814.61.26
Chucky Brown43430.01-0.510.510.010-7715.115.9-0.7515.014.60.42
Ricky Davis5251-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-7715.216.0-0.7414.615.0-0.39
Chuck Person109-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-2-314.715.6-0.9510.315.2-4.90
Eldridge Recasner1717-0.15-0.350.190.11-92-1115.815.50.3411.515.5-3.94
Bobby Phills7776-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.20-2-5315.615.40.2014.416.2-1.74
David Wesley7878-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.412-91115.515.8-0.3415.511.53.94
Elden Campbell5657-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.411-8916.214.61.6714.814.8-0.04
Eddie Jones5356-0.590.10-0.69-0.36-81-915.515.5-0.0015.713.42.26
Derrick Coleman7272-0.730.23-0.96-0.32-147-2115.515.7-0.1414.714.9-0.13

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Oakley80790.71-0.210.930.3313-61914.814.70.1215.515.9-0.39
Doug Christie80780.51-0.010.520.3070714.715.1-0.4315.316.6-1.27
Tracy McGrady46460.480.020.460.2770714.814.80.0315.215.8-0.60
Alvin Williams58560.430.070.360.1410-31314.814.80.0215.715.30.45
Dee Brown59600.310.190.110.1652314.215.8-1.6314.517.3-2.75
Michael Stewart32310.170.33-0.150.0934-116.114.11.9515.715.50.24
John Wallace42470.170.33-0.170.25-310-1315.014.50.5015.116.0-0.96
John Thomas46440.010.49-0.490.0107-714.614.9-0.2716.914.42.45
Vince Carter3234-0.280.78-1.07-0.08-714-2114.514.9-0.3616.914.82.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 86, ATL 910.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,192.9%
WAS 90, HOU 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,192.8%
NYK 81, CHI 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,192.6%