NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	82		Excitement	9.1 [70]		MVP	John Wallace (TOR): +8.8%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.8 [388]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -38.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Shackleford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Chuck Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	12	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.08
David Wesley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	6	68%	0.03	4	-0.15	7	86%	0.02
Bobby Phills	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	8	33%	-0.18	2	-0.09	8	50%	-0.11
Derrick Coleman	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.39,-0.39	-0.21	-0.20	-0.02	11	31%	-0.15	6	-0.24	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	12	55%	0.18	2	-0.15	7	86%	0.10
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.08	-0.02	19	41%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	67%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	7	25%	-0.10	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	10	25%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.3	28.3	16.4	27.5	2.4	45.3	150.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +9.9%

TOR +36.3%

CHH -2.4%

TOR +10.7%

CHH -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.8	86.3	93.7	99.6
season	15.7	15.6		99.2	99.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.2	15.7	16.8	13.8	15.5
TOR	13.2	14.9	17.5	13.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Shackleford	17	16	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-7	7	15.8	15.5	0.34	15.8	14.6	1.26
Chucky Brown	43	43	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-7	7	15.1	15.9	-0.75	15.0	14.6	0.42
Ricky Davis	52	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-7	7	15.2	16.0	-0.74	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Chuck Person	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.7	15.6	-0.95	10.3	15.2	-4.90
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	15.8	15.5	0.34	11.5	15.5	-3.94
Bobby Phills	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-5	3	15.6	15.4	0.20	14.4	16.2	-1.74
David Wesley	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-9	11	15.5	15.8	-0.34	15.5	11.5	3.94
Elden Campbell	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-8	9	16.2	14.6	1.67	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Eddie Jones	53	56	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.5	-0.00	15.7	13.4	2.26
Derrick Coleman	72	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	7	-21	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.7	14.9	-0.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	80	79	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-6	19	14.8	14.7	0.12	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Doug Christie	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	0	7	14.7	15.1	-0.43	15.3	16.6	-1.27
Tracy McGrady	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	14.8	14.8	0.03	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Alvin Williams	58	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	14.8	14.8	0.02	15.7	15.3	0.45
Dee Brown	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	2	3	14.2	15.8	-1.63	14.5	17.3	-2.75
Michael Stewart	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	4	-1	16.1	14.1	1.95	15.7	15.5	0.24
John Wallace	42	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	10	-13	15.0	14.5	0.50	15.1	16.0	-0.96
John Thomas	46	44	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.27	16.9	14.4	2.45
Vince Carter	32	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.9	-0.36	16.9	14.8	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 86, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	92.9%
WAS 90, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,1	92.8%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	92.6%