NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	8.2 [201]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	2.1 [697]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -55.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	77%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.06
Vin Baker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Shandon Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	12	46%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	3	12%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	11	41%	-0.17	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.45,-0.55,-0.55	-0.22	-0.34	-0.01	18	26%	-0.35	4	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Shirley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	71%	0.04	3	-0.07	13	54%	-0.16
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.01	20	57%	0.18	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	11	35%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	8	25%	-0.24	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.7	28.0	15.7	25.2	2.3	31.6	128.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.1%

CHI +14.9%

NYK -15.5%

NYK -10.1%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.7	90.0	96.7	100.5
season	15.5	15.2		98.6	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	17.7	15.3	18.3	16.9
CHI	12.9	15.0	15.3	17.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	21	19	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-10	14	19.0	16.3	2.68	16.6	14.7	1.94
DerMarr Johnson	19	18	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-5	4	17.3	16.8	0.46	16.8	14.7	2.17
Anfernee Hardaway	68	66	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-15	24	16.6	17.7	-1.09	15.9	12.9	3.03
Moochie Norris	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	17.4	16.7	0.64	16.5	14.6	1.97
Tim Thomas	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	3	-12	16.6	17.0	-0.43	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Vin Baker	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-10	14	17.9	15.6	2.36	16.1	13.7	2.39
Nazr Mohammed	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	4	-14	15.6	17.9	-2.36	13.7	16.1	-2.39
Shandon Anderson	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	2	-10	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.7	16.3	-1.68
Stephon Marbury	68	69	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	2	-10	17.0	16.6	0.35	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Kurt Thomas	69	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.38	-10	4	-14	16.3	19.0	-2.68	14.7	16.6	-1.94

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	75	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-7	20	14.7	16.9	-2.12	17.0	16.6	0.41
Antonio Davis	61	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	14.5	16.4	-1.99	16.9	16.9	-0.05
Eddy Curry	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	14.4	18.4	-3.98	16.7	17.9	-1.28
Jamal Crawford	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.3	10.7	4.55	16.9	17.2	-0.37
Kendall Gill	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	15.5	14.5	0.99	17.7	15.8	1.95
Linton Johnson	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	3	0	14.2	15.9	-1.75	15.9	17.8	-1.86
Tyson Chandler	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	10	-14	16.4	14.5	1.99	16.9	16.9	0.05
Paul Shirley	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	11	-16	18.4	14.4	3.98	17.9	16.7	1.28
Ronald Dupree	15	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	13	-20	16.9	14.7	2.12	16.6	17.0	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	92.6%
VAN 86, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	91.8%
HOU 101, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.2%