inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 81 Excitement8.2 [201] MVPKurt Thomas (NYK): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls 87 Comeback2.1 [697] LVPStephon Marbury (NYK): -55.2%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kurt Thomas0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.080.070.020.011077%0.132-0.05250%-0.06
Vin Baker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001052%0.0400.001100%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00844%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
DerMarr Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.00443%-0.051-0.02633%-0.06
Shandon Anderson-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.10-0.011246%-0.1000.004100%0.02
Moochie Norris-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.01312%-0.141-0.02250%-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21-0.11-0.12-0.011141%-0.173-0.04560%-0.03
Stephon Marbury-0.550,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.45,-0.55,-0.55-0.22-0.34-0.011826%-0.354-0.21250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronald Dupree0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.02-0.03250%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Paul Shirley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Eddy Curry0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.06,-0.03-0.030.03-0.050.011171%0.043-0.071354%-0.16
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03-0.03-0.050.020.012057%0.186-0.214100%0.05
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01950%-0.011-0.03475%-0.01
Linton Johnson0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01250%0.004-0.0900%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.08-0.011135%-0.131-0.024100%0.02
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.11-0.17-0.01825%-0.241-0.04425%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.728.015.725.22.331.6128.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +60.1%
CHI +14.9%
NYK -15.5%
NYK -10.1%
CHI +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKCHINBANYKCHINBA
this game16.915.115.790.096.7100.5
season15.515.298.694.6
opponent15.415.8101.3100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK16.617.715.318.316.9
CHI12.915.015.317.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Sweetney21190.18-0.680.850.064-101419.016.32.6816.614.71.94
DerMarr Johnson19180.02-0.520.530.05-1-5417.316.80.4616.814.72.17
Anfernee Hardaway68660.01-0.510.52-0.259-152416.617.7-1.0915.912.93.03
Moochie Norris2525-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-5417.416.70.6416.514.61.97
Tim Thomas2425-0.18-0.320.140.08-93-1216.617.0-0.4312.916.0-3.07
Vin Baker5151-0.22-0.280.05-0.344-101417.915.62.3616.113.72.39
Nazr Mohammed3939-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-104-1415.617.9-2.3613.716.1-2.39
Shandon Anderson6667-0.600.10-0.70-0.36-82-1016.916.80.0914.716.3-1.68
Stephon Marbury6869-0.650.14-0.79-0.41-82-1017.016.60.3514.616.8-2.23
Kurt Thomas6971-0.680.18-0.85-0.38-104-1416.319.0-2.6814.716.6-1.94

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich75740.71-0.210.920.3313-72014.716.9-2.1217.016.60.41
Antonio Davis61610.65-0.150.800.3311-51614.516.4-1.9916.916.9-0.05
Eddy Curry74730.62-0.120.740.3310-41414.418.4-3.9816.717.9-1.28
Jamal Crawford86860.52-0.020.550.298-21015.310.74.5516.917.2-0.37
Kendall Gill51510.360.140.210.3315-415.514.50.9917.715.81.95
Linton Johnson43430.120.38-0.260.0333014.215.9-1.7515.917.8-1.86
Tyson Chandler2929-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-410-1416.414.51.9916.916.90.05
Paul Shirley1617-0.140.64-0.780.01-511-1618.414.43.9817.916.71.28
Ronald Dupree1516-0.210.71-0.92-0.00-713-2016.914.72.1216.617.0-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 82, TOR 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,192.6%
VAN 86, ATL 910.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,191.8%
HOU 101, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,191.2%