NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	8.3 [234]		MVP	Monta Ellis (IND): +14.7%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	2.9 [437]		LVP	Jason Terry (HOU): -10.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	22	62%	0.41	5	-0.28	11	73%	-0.03
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	18	59%	0.21	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	17	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.01	12	59%	0.20	2	-0.08	8	37%	-0.09
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	28.0	15.8	29.8	1.8	35.3	137.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.8%

HOU -17.9%

IND +14.7%

IND +11.2%

IND +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	14.9	105.2	105.1	105.1
season	14.0	14.6		105.9	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.6	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	16.8	13.0	13.6	14.1
IND	15.2	14.5	15.8	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	28	28	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.04	18	-21	39	11.5	15.1	-3.57	16.2	15.1	1.11
Michael Beasley	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	12.9	15.2	-2.33	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Clint Capela	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.45	12	-15	27	14.8	13.6	1.18	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Donatas Motiejunas	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-2	1	15.6	13.4	2.23	17.4	14.6	2.82
Jason Terry	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	0	-3	13.2	14.3	-1.14	12.6	16.3	-3.71
Dwight Howard	62	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	12	-27	13.6	14.8	-1.18	15.6	15.1	0.53
James Harden	86	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-5	7	13.7	17.0	-3.28	15.7	13.0	2.70
Trevor Ariza	74	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.1	13.0	3.12
Corey Brewer	46	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-3	3	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Patrick Beverley	50	51	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.16	-26	23	-49	16.5	11.4	5.09	14.8	16.2	-1.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	70	65	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-12	27	15.8	14.7	1.08	14.9	12.3	2.67
Paul George	78	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	15.4	15.5	-0.09	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Monta Ellis	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	1	1	15.8	14.8	0.99	14.4	13.3	1.14
George Hill	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.52	-1	4	-5	15.9	14.8	1.12	14.1	14.0	0.06
Solomon Hill	31	30	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	3	-3	16.1	15.2	0.89	14.1	14.0	0.10
Lavoy Allen	43	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	13.7	16.8	-3.02	13.9	14.2	-0.24
CJ Miles	31	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.19	15.4	13.5	1.95
Rodney Stuckey	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	2	-1	14.8	15.8	-0.99	13.3	14.4	-1.14
Ty Lawson	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	2	-1	14.8	15.8	-0.99	13.3	14.4	-1.14
Jordan Hill	17	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	8	-13	12.6	16.0	-3.46	11.7	14.6	-2.97
Myles Turner	37	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	17.6	14.1	3.50	13.9	14.2	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	92.9%
CHH 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	92.0%
CLE 82, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,1	91.9%