NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	6.8 [471]		MVP	Earl Boykins (CLE): +16.7%
Miami Heat	87		Comeback	3.1 [659]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -38.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	6	83%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.02	14	78%	0.19	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.25	-0.18	-0.04	18	25%	-0.16	4	-0.22	4	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	12	64%	0.19	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	9	50%	0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	19	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	14	31%	-0.06	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	27.5	15.8	24.4	2.3	32.0	129.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +7.1%

MIA +17.6%

MIA +27.7%

CLE -5.1%

MIA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.2	90.1	96.7	101.7
season	14.1	15.7		98.0	101.2
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.9	16.7	12.8	14.8
MIA	15.0	16.4	16.8	20.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	50	50	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-5	5	16.4	13.0	3.38	16.0	18.2	-2.25
Donny Marshall	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	0	-5	13.4	15.3	-1.94	15.9	17.4	-1.44
Andrew DeClercq	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	13.5	15.6	-2.08	16.9	17.1	-0.19
Wesley Person	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-5	5	14.8	14.7	0.10	16.8	18.7	-1.97
Lamond Murray	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-9	13	14.7	15.3	-0.58	17.6	15.0	2.59
Earl Boykins	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	4	-13	13.5	15.2	-1.70	17.3	16.9	0.42
Shawn Kemp	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	15.6	13.5	2.08	17.1	16.9	0.19
Andre Miller	73	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-5	5	15.2	13.3	1.94	17.3	15.8	1.47
Danny Ferry	49	48	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.41	-10	5	-15	14.1	15.7	-1.54	17.4	16.5	0.94

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	56	59	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.29	19	-14	33	16.5	17.9	-1.42	14.9	14.7	0.28
Dan Majerle	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-2	9	17.3	16.2	1.14	15.7	12.7	3.08
Tim Hardaway	56	57	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	0	5	17.1	16.9	0.24	15.5	13.6	1.90
Jamal Mashburn	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	17.2	16.4	0.85	15.1	14.2	0.85
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	8	-11	17.6	16.0	1.56	14.9	14.7	0.18
Mark Strickland	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	16.3	17.1	-0.84	12.6	15.3	-2.68
Alonzo Mourning	68	69	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	11	-17	17.0	17.1	-0.18	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Voshon Lenard	34	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	5	-5	16.3	17.4	-1.18	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Anthony Carter	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	5	-5	16.9	17.1	-0.24	13.6	15.5	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.9%
BOS 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.4%
HOU 98, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	91.3%