NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	86		Excitement	7.2 [386]		MVP	LaPhonso Ellis (ATL): +12.0%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.9 [660]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -19.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Doug West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.20	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Bryant Reeves	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Michael Dickerson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	17	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	14	47%	-0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.02	10	77%	0.19	4	-0.10	6	67%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	16	61%	0.18	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.04
Roshown McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	6	33%	-0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	27.4	15.5	26.0	1.8	34.2	129.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +11.2%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +35.5%

VAN -9.8%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	ATL	NBA	VAN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.2	93.5	100.0	101.7
season	15.9	15.4		99.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.4	19.5	14.4	15.0	16.0
ATL	14.6	15.6	15.0	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	38	37	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	17.9	14.6	3.33	16.4	14.9	1.43
Felipe Lopez	17	18	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	14.7	16.3	-1.55	17.4	15.0	2.35
Cherokee Parks	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-5	5	0.0	16.1	-16.14	5.0	15.6	-10.62
Dennis Scott	20	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	15.3	16.2	-0.85	14.6	15.7	-1.18
Michael Dickerson	69	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-9	13	15.3	18.1	-2.83	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Bryant Reeves	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	2	-9	17.9	13.9	4.03	15.5	15.5	0.05
Doug West	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	16.4	15.6	0.72	15.7	15.3	0.41
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	0	-5	15.7	18.6	-2.91	15.5	15.3	0.24
Othella Harrington	59	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	5	-15	14.4	18.7	-4.26	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Mike Bibby	83	81	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	7	-19	16.3	12.9	3.41	15.3	17.2	-1.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	67	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-9	23	15.3	16.2	-0.95	16.2	15.4	0.81
Alan Henderson	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-6	17	15.1	17.7	-2.61	15.7	17.2	-1.47
LaPhonso Ellis	43	43	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-2	9	16.3	14.8	1.55	17.2	14.9	2.24
Dikembe Mutombo	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	0	5	15.6	15.3	0.24	16.5	14.9	1.61
Jim Jackson	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	7	-9	15.4	15.8	-0.45	15.2	18.1	-2.88
Lorenzen Wright	26	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	5	-5	15.7	15.4	0.32	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Isaiah Rider	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	0	5	16.3	15.2	1.18	17.7	15.2	2.46
Roshown McLeod	59	59	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	11	-17	15.2	16.1	-0.91	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Bimbo Coles	25	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.06	-9	14	-23	15.8	15.4	0.35	14.8	16.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,1	93.3%
CHH 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	92.9%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	91.8%