NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	90		Excitement	8.4 [182]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +7.9%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.5 [801]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -55.5%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harvey Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.13	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	20	48%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	8	22%	-0.18	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.56	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.3,-0.56,-0.56	-0.17	-0.40	-0.01	19	38%	-0.22	5	-0.34	4	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	7	73%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	59%	0.14	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.03
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	20	62%	0.24	6	-0.29	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	20	37%	-0.20	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.8	26.0	15.5	22.3	1.5	28.2	126.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +60.9%

WAS -8.8%

HOU +3.5%

WAS -8.7%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.6	94.7	100.0	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		104.3	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.8		103.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	13.9	15.1	16.4	15.0
HOU	15.2	14.9	16.9	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-9	12	16.0	14.7	1.22	15.2	15.1	0.11
Tracy Murray	46	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-11	16	15.2	14.9	0.28	14.4	15.8	-1.45
Chris Whitney	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	16.7	14.8	1.97	17.6	14.8	2.81
Harvey Grant	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-7	8	14.0	15.8	-1.79	13.6	16.2	-2.54
Gheorghe Muresan	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	0	-6	15.6	14.5	1.07	17.1	13.1	3.95
Chris Webber	85	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.5	19.8	-5.33	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Rod Strickland	83	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	14.8	16.7	-1.97	14.8	17.6	-2.81
Calbert Cheaney	58	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	3	-12	15.5	14.4	1.11	15.5	14.6	0.90
Juwan Howard	80	79	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.39	-14	8	-22	15.2	14.3	0.83	14.9	16.4	-1.49

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	63	65	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.31	21	-15	36	14.5	16.3	-1.75	15.4	14.3	1.12
Clyde Drexler	76	75	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.35	17	-11	28	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Hakeem Olajuwon	82	81	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.32	16	-10	26	14.7	17.7	-3.03	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Kevin Willis	85	87	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-10	26	15.4	13.0	2.40	15.3	12.2	3.04
Eddie Johnson	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	1	4	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.2	14.9	0.32
Mario Elie	65	64	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	11	-16	15.4	14.5	0.99	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Matt Bullard	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	18.4	14.8	3.55	17.0	14.9	2.15
Sedale Threatt	33	30	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.01	-15	21	-36	16.3	14.5	1.75	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Othella Harrington	24	22	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.09	-20	26	-46	16.3	14.7	1.56	14.3	15.2	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 86, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	93.3%
CHH 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	92.8%
NOP 97, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.92,1	92.3%