NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	97		Excitement	8.4 [207]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +20.0%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.2 [823]		LVP	Alexis Ajinca (NOP): -18.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.03	13	50%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Toney Douglas	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	66%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
James Ennis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	100%	0.17	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	0.00	-0.18	0.00	14	58%	0.08	4	-0.26	3	100%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.06	-0.02	19	64%	0.35	4	-0.15	12	75%	-0.03
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.07	0.00	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	15	39%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	28.6	15.6	28.0	1.8	39.4	137.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.6%

NOP -5.8%

NOP -11.2%

BOS +44.6%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.2	14.9	95.1	101.0	105.1
season	14.3	13.9		104.3	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		101.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	12.9	15.5	12.1	13.9
BOS	12.8	14.9	14.0	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	41	40	0.35	-0.85	1.21	-0.06	14	-21	35	14.1	13.8	0.29	14.2	14.2	0.04
Jordan Hamilton	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-13	19	12.4	16.2	-3.76	14.8	13.2	1.58
Luke Babbitt	71	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-14	21	13.1	15.7	-2.62	14.6	13.3	1.27
Alexis Ajinca	43	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	15.2	13.0	2.23	13.7	14.5	-0.79
James Ennis	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	1	-9	14.2	13.5	0.72	14.6	13.6	0.98
Tim Frazier	74	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.5	15.1	-1.58	14.3	13.9	0.43
Toney Douglas	63	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	14.4	13.1	1.33	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Omer Asik	32	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	11	-29	14.4	13.7	0.66	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Dante Cunningham	65	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.16	-21	14	-35	14.8	12.5	2.29	13.5	15.3	-1.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	69	69	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.20	22	-15	37	13.6	15.3	-1.63	14.7	12.4	2.26
Avery Bradley	74	71	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-8	23	13.8	15.1	-1.34	14.1	13.6	0.49
Jared Sullinger	44	44	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	14.6	13.8	0.81	14.9	13.2	1.74
Amir Johnson	54	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-1	9	13.6	14.8	-1.15	14.3	13.6	0.66
Marcus Smart	68	70	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	13	-19	14.1	14.3	-0.17	14.2	13.4	0.75
Jae Crowder	76	74	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	7	-7	14.6	13.1	1.49	13.7	14.5	-0.75
RJ Hunter	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	5	-3	15.6	13.9	1.72	12.9	14.1	-1.25
Jonas Jerebko	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	8	-9	14.2	14.2	0.02	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Kelly Olynyk	23	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	8	-9	13.4	14.4	-0.95	14.2	13.8	0.31
Tyler Zeller	15	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	10	-13	15.4	14.0	1.43	12.9	14.1	-1.23
Terry Rozier	39	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.13	-12	19	-31	14.8	13.8	0.96	11.8	15.2	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,1	92.3%
VAN 86, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	91.5%
CHI 97, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.95,1	91.2%