inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 89 Excitement7.9 [153] MVPAlvin Williams (TOR): +10.1%
Toronto Raptors 84 Comeback3.6 [264] LVPIke Austin (ORL): -19.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04-0.010.060.00972%0.225-0.1700%0.00
Derek Strong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00450%0.0000.004100%0.03
Matt Harpring-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00856%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Horace Grant-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.031136%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.01559%-0.002-0.08729%-0.08
Nick Anderson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.04-0.07-0.02958%0.023-0.12862%-0.03
Darrell Armstrong-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11-0.01-0.090.011454%-0.052-0.067100%0.06
Ike Austin-0.190,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.38,-0.38,-0.19-0.16-0.03-0.01933%-0.014-0.18667%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.015100%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.03-0.031150%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Slater00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00175%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.07-0.01850%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00844%-0.013-0.0900%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.01520%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,0,-0.08,-0.18-0.18-0.06-0.110.012047%0.044-0.2100%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.14-0.012147%-0.133-0.063100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.428.715.626.32.341.5139.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +14.2%
ORL +14.1%
ORL +29.2%
TOR -7.2%
TOR -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game15.016.615.898.991.399.6
season16.115.698.099.0
opponent15.915.6101.295.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.914.013.415.815.0
TOR15.220.217.913.616.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Horace Grant63640.76-0.261.030.596-1714.217.0-2.7915.818.3-2.44
Anfernee Hardaway76750.67-0.170.830.3411-61715.612.33.2716.616.50.14
Ike Austin62620.53-0.030.550.4723-115.514.11.4117.414.92.45
Nick Anderson76770.400.100.300.3132115.015.4-0.3716.119.0-2.88
Darrell Armstrong55590.270.230.030.2123-115.314.70.5915.818.1-2.30
Matt Harpring33360.040.46-0.42-0.0223-114.715.2-0.5018.215.62.60
Derek Strong21230.030.47-0.44-0.0632115.414.90.5014.217.4-3.16
Bo Outlaw6464-0.190.69-0.88-0.07-49-1314.715.8-1.0217.813.84.03

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady42410.01-0.510.52-0.021-6715.517.5-2.0915.514.70.86
Reggie Slater44-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-4312.516.8-4.2715.515.00.48
Alvin Williams6865-0.13-0.370.24-0.378-132116.616.60.0016.212.04.27
Kevin Willis7877-0.17-0.330.17-0.377-121916.516.9-0.3215.810.65.18
John Wallace1514-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-1-315.016.9-1.9011.315.7-4.45
Michael Stewart1212-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-72-916.816.50.2813.115.3-2.26
Dee Brown5353-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-94-1315.717.8-2.1013.816.8-2.91
Doug Christie5653-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.28-61-717.115.91.1914.815.4-0.52
Vince Carter7777-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-3-2-116.716.00.7014.816.6-1.84
Charles Oakley5554-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-116-1718.413.94.5515.314.60.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 105, NJN 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.16,090.4%
CHH 93, ATL 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.41,090.4%
LAC 95, NOP 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,090.1%