NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +24.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	89		Comeback	2.1 [405]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -22.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.01	12	52%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.04	0.02	15	76%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	6	36%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	31%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36,-0.23,-0.21	-0.22	-0.00	-0.01	18	22%	-0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	-0.00	11	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.10	-0.03	13	45%	0.15	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.04
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.24	5	-0.28	2	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	14	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	17	39%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.0	15.5	25.5	1.6	38.8	136.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.6%

LAC +10.7%

NOP -0.7%

LAC +24.7%

NOP -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	16.9	13.5	14.9	101.1	92.7	105.1
season	14.8	14.3		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		107.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	17.0	18.4	18.0	16.9
NOP	12.7	13.5	14.4	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	55	58	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-6	18	16.0	18.1	-2.03	14.4	12.2	2.20
Chris Paul	63	65	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.29	13	-7	20	16.4	17.7	-1.31	14.1	12.2	1.96
DeAndre Jordan	69	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-3	12	16.6	17.7	-1.17	13.6	13.0	0.64
Paul Pierce	37	41	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	16.1	17.4	-1.33	14.6	12.7	1.91
Jamal Crawford	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	1	4	17.7	16.2	1.50	11.9	14.8	-2.82
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	5	-4	16.7	17.0	-0.34	14.9	11.8	3.09
Wesley Johnson	55	54	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	3	0	16.9	16.9	-0.02	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Cole Aldrich	22	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	12	-18	18.9	16.2	2.61	12.4	13.8	-1.36
Pablo Prigioni	31	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	13	-20	17.7	16.4	1.31	12.2	14.1	-1.96
Austin Rivers	44	42	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.09	-9	15	-24	17.5	16.3	1.16	12.0	14.6	-2.56

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	59	59	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-10	14	12.8	14.6	-1.84	17.5	15.9	1.60
Omer Asik	40	39	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-13	20	13.4	13.6	-0.15	18.3	15.8	2.47
Alexis Ajinca	6	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-5	4	12.2	13.6	-1.41	17.7	16.8	0.92
Dante Cunningham	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	17.0	13.2	3.79	13.4	17.1	-3.71
Alonzo Gee	29	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	12.8	13.8	-0.95	15.5	17.4	-1.94
Jrue Holiday	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-5	4	12.7	14.5	-1.74	17.2	16.4	0.79
Norris Cole	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	13.8	12.9	0.86	17.7	15.0	2.70
Tyreke Evans	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.0	12.4	1.60	17.0	16.6	0.31
Eric Gordon	73	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	13.5	13.4	0.07	16.1	19.1	-3.04
Anthony Davis	77	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	4	-14	14.0	11.5	2.51	16.1	19.9	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.04,0	92.8%
WAS 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.23,0.26,0	92.7%
CLE 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	92.3%