NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	8.0 [223]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +25.0%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	2.4 [110]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -27.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25	-0.01	0.26	0.00	12	54%	0.30	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	20	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Lorenzo Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	18	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.02	20	39%	-0.09	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	2	62%	-0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.10	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	7	36%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	16	40%	-0.16	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.17	-0.03	0.07	18	45%	-0.14	5	-0.14	11	45%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	61.8	1.8	27.3	15.5	25.3	1.8	38.3	171.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +24.1%

UTA -2.5%

WAS +11.7%

WAS +29.9%

UTA -13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.6	94.7	89.6	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		102.8	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	16.3	15.6	15.5	15.5
UTA	13.8	16.4	13.8	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-5	14	15.5	15.2	0.33	13.6	18.0	-4.39
Terry Davis	49	49	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-6	16	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Chris Webber	87	88	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	15.4	16.1	-0.73	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Rod Strickland	77	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	15.1	16.8	-1.63	14.0	18.0	-3.95
Juwan Howard	87	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	6	-8	15.0	20.9	-5.92	14.0	22.0	-7.95
Lorenzo Williams	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	14.6	15.7	-1.17	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Chris Whitney	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	2	0	16.2	15.2	1.01	16.7	14.2	2.58
Darvin Ham	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	3	-2	17.1	15.1	1.98	17.5	14.1	3.43
Harvey Grant	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	16.2	15.2	1.01	17.8	13.8	3.97
Tracy Murray	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	9	-14	15.5	15.4	0.09	18.3	13.7	4.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	13	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	18.5	14.1	4.34	18.0	15.1	2.92
Troy Hudson	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-4	4	20.0	14.7	5.35	20.0	15.4	4.60
Adam Keefe	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	16.3	14.1	2.25	16.2	15.2	1.02
Jeff Hornacek	67	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-7	10	13.7	17.0	-3.33	14.9	16.6	-1.73
Howard Eisley	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	13.6	15.7	-2.07	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Greg Ostertag	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.28	15.7	14.9	0.81
Shandon Anderson	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	3	-10	17.0	13.7	3.33	16.6	14.9	1.73
Jacque Vaughn	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-3	2	15.6	13.8	1.85	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Bryon Russell	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	14.1	16.3	-2.25	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Antoine Carr	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	1	-6	15.6	14.0	1.53	15.6	15.4	0.19
Karl Malone	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	13.7	18.6	-4.98	14.8	18.4	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	93.3%
LAC 95, NOP 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,0	92.7%
CLE 95, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.14,0.27,0	92.0%