NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	6.9 [467]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +29.9%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.0 [788]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -30.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.27	0.03	0.01	12	104%	0.35	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	19	62%	0.28	3	-0.11	9	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	-0.02	0.14	-0.01	12	50%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	55%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	8	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	10	95%	0.27	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	16	55%	0.20	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	77%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	18	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	6	14%	-0.16	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	30.4	16.4	31.5	2.3	32.4	137.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.6%

CLE +5.0%

NYK -1.1%

CLE +13.7%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.4	113.3	105.5	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		103.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	14.8	15.2	15.8	16.0
NYK	15.4	17.1	18.2	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	16.1	15.6	0.48	16.0	14.9	1.08
Sasha Pavlovic	45	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	14.6	17.3	-2.67	15.0	16.7	-1.76
Larry Hughes	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	7	-8	16.5	13.9	2.64	15.9	15.7	0.20
Anderson Varejao	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	2	2	15.7	16.3	-0.58	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Donyell Marshall	44	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	0	6	14.4	17.5	-3.16	16.8	14.9	1.94
Drew Gooden	42	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	0	6	16.6	15.4	1.16	16.7	15.0	1.75
Damon Jones	55	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	-1	8	14.5	18.3	-3.82	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Eric Snow	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	8	-10	18.7	14.6	4.08	15.0	16.2	-1.21
David Wesley	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	6.3	16.3	-9.98	4.0	16.2	-12.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	14	-22	18.8	14.1	4.71	16.4	15.5	0.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-7	8	15.8	15.9	-0.12	17.1	15.1	1.98
Eddy Curry	61	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-15	24	16.4	14.8	1.61	17.5	13.2	4.30
Renaldo Balkman	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-4	2	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Malik Rose	6	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	19.2	15.6	3.55	10.6	16.3	-5.69
David Lee	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-3	0	15.8	15.9	-0.18	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Nate Robinson	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-8	10	15.1	16.6	-1.58	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Channing Frye	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	3	-12	16.6	14.8	1.84	16.2	15.7	0.55
Stephon Marbury	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.5	17.2	-1.74	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Jamal Crawford	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.5	16.5	-1.00	15.1	17.7	-2.60
Quentin Richardson	69	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	5	-16	15.8	15.9	-0.08	16.0	16.0	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.9%
SAC 118, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.09,0.02,0	92.4%
NJN 86, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.06,0.13,0	92.4%