NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	8.3 [186]		MVP	Jon Barry (ATL): +16.5%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	2.4 [293]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -44.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.16	-0.02	0.17	-0.01	3	50%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	20	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.06
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.11,0.02	0.10	-0.07	-0.00	11	76%	0.04	1	-0.01	11	64%	-0.21
Donald Royal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	11	61%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Ricky Pierce	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	4	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	56%	0.20	4	-0.20	7	86%	0.04
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	8	45%	-0.19	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.23
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.44	-0.44	-0.15	-0.34	-0.04	21	38%	0.01	5	-0.45	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	25.5	16.6	29.7	2.6	32.3	131.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -12.3%

CHH +27.4%

ATL -22.5%

CHH +49.1%

CHH +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.6	105.7	105.7	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		108.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.0		100.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.9	13.7	13.9	18.0	15.6
ATL	15.8	19.0	17.4	17.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-5	11	15.1	22.3	-7.22	17.7	11.4	6.28
Glen Rice	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.6	0.0	15.60	17.3	0.0	17.32
Tony Smith	40	39	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	3	-5	16.0	15.2	0.82	17.6	17.1	0.44
Donald Royal	25	23	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	1	-1	13.0	16.6	-3.58	16.6	17.6	-0.97
Muggsy Bogues	44	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-10	21	15.4	15.8	-0.34	17.3	17.3	-0.02
Tony Delk	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	4	-7	15.1	16.6	-1.56	17.6	16.7	0.90
Vlade Divac	69	69	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	17.1	10.1	7.01	17.1	18.1	-0.93
Ricky Pierce	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	5	-9	16.2	15.2	0.99	16.6	17.8	-1.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	12	12	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.11	10	-11	21	14.5	17.8	-3.27	19.9	14.9	5.00
Alan Henderson	44	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	2	-5	18.2	16.4	1.83	15.0	16.2	-1.15
Eldridge Recasner	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	17.9	17.1	0.77	14.2	16.1	-1.83
Jon Barry	30	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.51	15	-16	31	16.3	17.9	-1.56	16.5	15.1	1.41
Christian Laettner	63	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-8	15	17.2	17.7	-0.48	15.3	16.5	-1.26
Mookie Blaylock	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-2	3	17.3	17.7	-0.47	15.7	14.7	0.96
Dikembe Mutombo	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	15	-31	17.3	17.3	0.03	16.0	15.0	1.05
Steven Smith	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	3	-7	17.2	18.7	-1.51	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Henry James	52	52	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	12	-25	18.0	16.4	1.59	15.0	16.5	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,0	93.1%
LAL 117, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.42,0	92.4%
MIN 87, NOH 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.39,0.47,0.3,0.43,0.16,0	91.4%