NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	7.5 [302]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +29.1%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	2.9 [368]		LVP	Ronny Turiaf (LAL): -7.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.09	0.03	15	79%	0.33	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	11	58%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	5	120%	0.27	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.07	0.04	0.06	0.03	26	53%	0.17	4	-0.10	16	87%	0.10
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	8	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	8	90%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	92%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	38.2	16.6	26.2	2.7	36.5	144.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.9%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +16.1%

ORL -10.9%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.4	127.2	124.2	105.7
season	14.6	15.1		110.6	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		104.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.9	14.8	16.2	17.3	15.5
ORL	14.9	15.2	17.3	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	72	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.56	12	-8	20	15.5	15.2	0.34	15.6	17.5	-1.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-3	10	15.6	15.2	0.36	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Derek Fisher	62	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-4	12	15.8	14.8	0.99	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	15.7	11.8	3.88	16.1	13.7	2.36
Lamar Odom	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	6	-8	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.6	18.7	-3.13
Sasha Vujacic	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-3	10	14.7	15.9	-1.14	15.9	16.1	-0.22
DJ Mbenga	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.03	-3	7	-10	12.0	15.6	-3.58	12.7	16.1	-3.46
Jordan Farmar	30	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.8	-0.99	16.8	15.7	1.12
Luke Walton	17	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	10	-16	15.3	15.5	-0.21	18.4	15.5	2.87
Ronny Turiaf	17	16	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.20	-5	9	-14	15.8	15.4	0.36	18.4	15.5	2.87

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	19	19	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-9	14	17.2	15.7	1.45	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Pat Garrity	2	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-4	4	11.5	16.1	-4.61	16.0	15.5	0.54
JJ Redick	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	16.1	16.0	0.08	15.8	15.4	0.44
Brian Cook	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-3	2	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Maurice Evans	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	15.4	16.6	-1.17	16.0	15.0	1.06
Adonal Foyle	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	5	-14	15.2	16.4	-1.15	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Hedo Turkoglu	61	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-10	16	16.3	15.4	0.91	15.9	14.6	1.24
Dwight Howard	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-6	8	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.8	15.0	0.78
Keith Bogans	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-4	4	16.6	15.4	1.17	15.0	16.0	-1.06
Rashard Lewis	79	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	15.8	17.4	-1.62	15.3	16.8	-1.53
Jameer Nelson	72	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.46	-9	5	-14	15.7	17.2	-1.45	15.5	15.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.41,0	92.4%
ATL 101, CHH 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.15,0	91.0%
UTA 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,0	91.0%