NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	10.9 [17]		MVP	Randy Brown (CHI): +24.6%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	3.3 [138]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -40.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Brown	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.25	0.03	0.22	0.01	12	63%	0.33	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	18	49%	0.10	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Kornel David	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ron Harper	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	17	26%	-0.04	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.14	-0.02	18	41%	-0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Dickey Simpkins	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	10	59%	-0.03	2	-0.17	9	78%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.18	0.01	13	46%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Negele Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.07	0.03	12	58%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	19	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	36%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	10	31%	-0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	-0.01	17	33%	-0.25	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	26.3	15.8	23.1	2.5	39.4	1.7	17.7	155.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.1%

CHI +17.4%

CHI +26.4%

TOR -25.3%

TOR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	18.2	15.7	15.8	96.8	92.6	99.6
season	16.7	15.6		90.6	99.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.3	17.8	18.2	23.4	13.6	18.2
TOR	13.7	14.3	19.7	14.5	17.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	74	76	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-13	28	18.1	18.5	-0.40	15.9	14.8	1.08
Randy Brown	70	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-7	16	18.5	17.3	1.20	15.9	14.9	0.96
Toni Kukoc	79	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-7	16	18.5	16.6	1.84	16.1	12.6	3.51
Dickey Simpkins	64	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-5	12	18.3	18.0	0.25	16.0	14.8	1.22
Kornel David	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	0	2	17.8	18.5	-0.72	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Ron Harper	72	73	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.44	-10	12	-22	18.0	19.0	-1.09	16.2	13.8	2.39
Andrew Lang	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	2	-2	17.7	18.3	-0.58	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Rusty LaRue	23	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	9	-16	17.3	18.5	-1.20	14.9	15.9	-0.96

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	8	7	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	14.9	15.7	-0.85	17.3	18.3	-0.99
Michael Stewart	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	3	-8	12.4	16.0	-3.54	15.9	18.4	-2.55
Vince Carter	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-7	12	15.4	16.2	-0.80	17.7	19.3	-1.59
John Wallace	43	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	14.0	17.0	-2.93	19.9	16.9	3.02
Charles Oakley	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.52	10	-12	22	16.3	13.7	2.66	18.3	17.8	0.57
Alvin Williams	50	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	5	-12	15.8	15.4	0.40	17.8	18.6	-0.85
Dee Brown	69	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.8	18.0	-3.18	18.5	17.4	1.12
Negele Knight	11	10	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	9	-20	18.5	15.3	3.27	20.0	18.0	2.01
Doug Christie	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	16.1	10.7	5.35	18.1	19.3	-1.21
Kevin Willis	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	10	-22	16.5	14.1	2.39	17.6	19.3	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.42,0	91.5%
BOS 117, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.07,0.27,0.5,0.45,0.64,0.55,0.85,0	89.2%
NYK 102, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0	89.0%