NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	8.2 [244]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +40.7%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	3.0 [317]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -33.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,0.03,0.1,0.41	0.01	0.36	-0.03	23	58%	0.50	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.09
Michael Sweetney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	79%	0.11	4	-0.06	5	60%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jamison Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	57%	-0.04	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.20	0.03	2	117%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.21
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	10	67%	0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.09	0.00	4	50%	0.09	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	59%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	4	-0.24	1	0%	-0.08
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.34	-0.03	-0.31	-0.01	16	57%	-0.26	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	32.2	15.3	25.1	1.8	40.5	1.7	17.6	163.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.4%

UTA -16.9%

NYK +11.9%

NYK +31.0%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.5	96.2	94.3	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	12.8	15.8	16.3	17.9	15.5	15.6
UTA	14.4	14.9	16.5	12.1	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	96	96	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	1	1	15.4	17.4	-1.99	14.2	17.7	-3.42
Michael Sweetney	56	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	-2	7	15.7	15.4	0.29	15.5	13.4	2.07
Anfernee Hardaway	88	86	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	6	-9	15.8	14.6	1.18	14.4	15.3	-0.94
Trevor Ariza	73	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	3	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.68	14.8	14.0	0.76
Vin Baker	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	-2	7	16.2	15.3	0.87	14.6	14.5	0.13
Jamison Brewer	12	11	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	1	1	15.7	15.6	0.18	16.5	14.3	2.24
Tim Thomas	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	15.9	15.5	0.44	15.1	14.3	0.79
Bruno Sundov	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	18.5	15.3	3.29	9.9	15.0	-5.13
Kurt Thomas	81	80	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	8	-13	15.3	16.7	-1.42	13.7	17.3	-3.64
Nazr Mohammed	26	29	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.41	3	0	3	14.5	15.9	-1.40	15.1	14.3	0.77

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	14	16	0.61	-1.11	1.73	0.32	10	-13	23	9.2	15.4	-6.15	18.7	15.0	3.72
Carlos Boozer	43	46	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.18	2	-5	7	13.3	15.4	-2.10	16.5	14.9	1.68
Kris Humphries	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	9.6	14.9	-5.33	20.0	15.3	4.72
Curtis Borchardt	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.51	16.3	15.4	0.87
Andrei Kirilenko	78	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-10	17	14.6	14.3	0.33	15.8	14.9	0.95
Matt Harpring	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-7	11	13.4	16.7	-3.29	16.1	14.7	1.33
Raul Lopez	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-8	13	14.3	14.9	-0.60	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Howard Eisley	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	5	-13	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.7	15.6	0.09
Jarron Collins	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	6	-15	15.6	13.6	1.96	14.3	16.7	-2.47
Kirk Snyder	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	6	-15	16.7	13.4	3.29	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Raja Bell	54	52	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.69	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.16	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Mehmet Okur	49	48	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.52	-12	9	-21	17.0	12.4	4.53	14.0	16.9	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.42,0	89.7%
POR 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.43,0,0	89.0%
SEA 101, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	89.0%