NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	5.2 [748]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +10.0%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	1.6 [1074]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -9.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	12	85%	0.20	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	14	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Cotton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.01	15	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	11	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	19	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	16	47%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	19	57%	0.05	8	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	8	47%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	0.7	26.0	15.8	26.0	1.8	24.2	117.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +28.9%

SEA +10.7%

GSW -4.0%

SEA +14.0%

SEA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	15.7	15.6	105.2	88.8	102.5
season	15.3	15.6		109.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	16.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.4	16.4	12.9	14.4	14.0
GSW	15.3	14.9	17.7	15.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	80	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	-2	18	13.8	14.6	-0.71	16.4	11.7	4.69
Detlef Schrempf	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	4	6	14.0	13.8	0.24	15.9	15.4	0.47
Hersey Hawkins	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	13.5	14.5	-1.02	16.9	14.4	2.54
Dale Ellis	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	1	12	14.7	13.0	1.73	16.5	14.5	2.01
Vin Baker	73	75	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	12	-10	14.1	13.6	0.47	15.9	14.9	1.03
Jim McIlvaine	39	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	9	-4	14.2	13.8	0.40	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Sam Perkins	41	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	9	-4	14.6	13.5	1.12	16.4	15.2	1.23
Aaron Williams	16	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	3	8	11.8	14.4	-2.59	14.4	16.0	-1.51
David Wingate	27	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	9	-4	13.8	14.0	-0.21	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Greg Anthony	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	16	-18	15.2	13.7	1.48	13.1	16.3	-3.22
Eric Snow	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	11.1	14.2	-3.05	6.9	16.4	-9.53
James Cotton	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	11.1	14.2	-3.05	6.9	16.4	-9.53

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	20	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-10	6	16.0	15.6	0.43	12.4	14.4	-2.00
Tony Delk	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-3	-8	14.2	16.5	-2.30	15.6	13.0	2.57
Felton Spencer	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-5	-4	16.9	15.3	1.52	15.3	13.6	1.70
Erick Dampier	80	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	15.8	15.3	0.45	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Bimbo Coles	87	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-6	-2	15.8	14.7	1.10	13.5	17.2	-3.65
Joe Smith	86	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	15.4	18.1	-2.71	14.0	13.7	0.27
Donyell Marshall	85	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-2	-10	15.6	16.6	-1.05	14.2	12.5	1.68
Brian Shaw	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	-5	-4	16.3	14.0	2.26	13.7	14.8	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 114, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIN 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.07,0,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%
UTA 103, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.0%