inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 103 Excitement5.8 [621] MVPDevean George (GSW): +27.7%
Golden State Warriors 94 Comeback1.6 [1025] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -29.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0.120,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.030.031568%0.151-0.034100%0.02
CJ Miles0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001259%0.113-0.07367%-0.01
Kosta Koufos0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.021550%0.073-0.072100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.021145%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00464%0.032-0.053100%0.02
Carlos Boozer-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01542%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Ronnie Price-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.011350%0.043-0.09250%-0.01
Deron Williams-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01945%0.015-0.12475%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.210.070.01995%0.2800.004100%0.02
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Chris Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02564%0.042-0.061100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.011542%-0.031-0.02667%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.040.021547%-0.032-0.056100%0.02
Reggie Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.001545%-0.013-0.0910%-0.02
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.062227%-0.126-0.17875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.029.114.726.41.733.3130.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +39.7%
GSW -10.7%
UTA +30.1%
GSW -13.4%
UTA +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAGSWNBAUTAGSWNBA
this game15.113.115.3101.092.2106.0
season15.313.4109.5106.5
opponent14.815.0110.0104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.512.614.518.215.1
GSW13.315.112.211.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price60590.470.030.450.3063315.714.31.4313.213.00.27
CJ Miles77780.430.070.370.2372515.314.70.5912.515.0-2.47
Mehmet Okur66680.420.080.340.0413-41714.715.9-1.1313.013.4-0.46
Wesley Matthews88870.410.090.330.2463315.512.92.6313.212.40.83
Paul Millsap72720.400.100.300.1490914.915.6-0.6212.714.2-1.50
Kyle Korver52510.220.28-0.050.0563314.316.0-1.6713.512.70.80
Deron Williams61620.190.31-0.120.1618-715.614.51.0713.213.00.18
Carlos Boozer25250.000.50-0.500.0009-915.515.00.5213.313.10.23
Kosta Koufos98-0.060.56-0.620.03-312-1511.615.5-3.9218.212.75.58

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronny Turiaf27270.00-0.500.50-0.031-101114.412.71.7214.315.4-1.13
Chris Hunter4647-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-7513.013.2-0.1214.715.5-0.83
Devean George5757-0.21-0.290.07-0.18-1-8713.412.80.5915.015.3-0.29
Reggie Williams9495-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.22-8-1-713.212.40.8015.115.1-0.02
Monta Ellis102102-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-913.10.013.1115.10.015.13
Anthony Tolliver9796-0.540.04-0.57-0.19-123-1513.113.00.1115.115.2-0.04
Stephen Curry8786-0.630.13-0.76-0.22-145-1912.516.6-4.0915.711.93.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 109, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,095.3%
DET 94, DAL 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.8%
IND 97, BOS 700.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%