inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 92 Excitement9.3 [90] MVPDevean George (LAL): +13.4%
Houston Rockets 88 Comeback10.6 [71] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -31.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devean George0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.04-0.014100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,00.07-0.060.011767%0.122-0.121173%0.02
Slava Medvedenko-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00433%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Rick Fox-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Luke Walton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.030.001152%0.022-0.071127%-0.11
Kareem Rush-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.001246%-0.022-0.08450%-0.05
Kobe Bryant-0.240,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.45,-0.51,-0.55,-0.6,-0.44,-0.24-0.14-0.10-0.002138%-0.133-0.11580%-0.01
Derek Fisher-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.13-0.14-0.0170%-0.161-0.1000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00680%0.0900.00367%0.01
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01456%0.0100.001100%-0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.040.001940%0.061-0.072100%0.03
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.00643%-0.033-0.072100%0.03
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.080.011550%-0.013-0.132100%0.01
Jim Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.120.011355%0.034-0.203100%0.02
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31-0.31-0.10-0.24-0.031450%-0.145-0.18667%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.23.536.417.726.23.541.32.422.2180.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +10.5%
LAL +2.8%
LAL +4.1%
LAL +31.0%
LAL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALHOUNBALALHOUNBA
this game16.316.615.794.891.7100.5
season15.416.5102.898.8
opponent15.615.697.199.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL15.813.517.219.615.816.3
HOU17.016.518.814.715.816.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher46450.54-0.040.590.318-41215.317.3-1.9716.217.0-0.86
Karl Malone87850.53-0.030.550.356-2816.317.1-0.8516.815.31.52
Shaquille O'Neal88850.500.000.500.297-31016.317.0-0.7316.914.42.54
Gary Payton83810.460.040.430.3540416.217.2-1.0216.914.91.99
Kobe Bryant91900.280.220.050.31-15-616.415.21.2516.616.30.30
Devean George39390.220.28-0.070.25-15-616.915.90.9717.715.91.86
Rick Fox790.110.39-0.27-0.0040414.016.5-2.5214.116.9-2.76
Slava Medvedenko13130.010.49-0.490.04-15-616.716.30.4117.216.50.62
Luke Walton57-0.060.56-0.610.06-48-1221.216.15.1212.317.0-4.67
Kareem Rush2626-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-26-817.515.91.6415.017.2-2.27

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yao Ming60640.35-0.851.200.350-4417.714.82.8916.216.5-0.31
Bostjan Nachbar11110.03-0.530.56-0.032-6815.116.8-1.7214.716.5-1.82
Scott Padgett01-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-440.016.6-16.611.016.5-15.50
Eric Piatkowski87-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-3212.917.0-4.0813.416.6-3.14
Mark Jackson77-0.17-0.330.160.06-84-1220.416.34.1110.016.8-6.83
Cuttino Mobley7578-0.24-0.260.01-0.488-122016.516.9-0.3717.511.46.12
Kelvin Cato7977-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-51-616.616.8-0.2516.615.31.25
Steve Francis9596-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.37-40-416.75.011.7416.51.015.50
Jim Jackson9292-0.590.09-0.68-0.32-95-1416.813.03.7716.121.6-5.55
Maurice Taylor5352-0.870.37-1.24-0.78-3-1-215.518.0-2.5916.416.30.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 90, TOR 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,091.5%
NYK 102, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,089.7%
BOS 117, TOR 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.07,0.27,0.5,0.45,0.64,0.55,0.85,088.5%