inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 100 Excitement13.7 [3] MVPChris Mills (GSW): +31.9%
Golden State Warriors 105 Comeback32.0 [18] LVPDamon Stoudamire (POR): -33.0%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stacey Augmon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.07-0.001557%-0.0300.001070%-0.17
Jim Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00475%0.073-0.114100%0.05
Kelvin Cato-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00350%-0.011-0.042100%0.01
Isaiah Rider-0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.04-0.050.011549%-0.042-0.065100%0.06
Greg Anthony-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0020%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.19,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.150.00-0.16-0.011844%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.10-0.15-0.00617%-0.112-0.1300%0.00
Walt Williams-0.280,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.06-0.22-0.011342%-0.133-0.1500%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.330,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.21,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.33,-0.33-0.08-0.26-0.011453%-0.045-0.29683%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.040.28-0.001154%0.3200.002100%0.01
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.050.050.08-0.030.001467%0.211-0.16887%0.08
Duane Ferrell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Starks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.090.011649%-0.0800.00580%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.00-0.00920%-0.1000.0020%-0.03
Jason Caffey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.07-0.001339%-0.1000.00250%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.110.001250%-0.092-0.06450%-0.03
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.03-0.200.01844%-0.201-0.042100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.14-0.13-0.031235%-0.084-0.17250%-0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26-0.26-0.17-0.10-0.011117%-0.182-0.0820%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.20.731.115.424.41.840.32.412.31.523.8178.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.81.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +11.4%
POR -23.7%
GSW +53.2%
GSW +5.9%
GSW +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORGSWNBAPORGSWNBA
this game14.418.015.893.597.299.6
season16.015.9102.095.1
opponent15.515.998.196.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
POR15.913.914.713.812.114.3
GSW16.919.515.319.817.917.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Anthony26250.35-0.851.200.321-6712.115.1-2.9822.416.75.75
Stacey Augmon200.29-0.791.090.35-2-3111.014.4-3.440.018.0-17.98
Kelvin Cato25250.01-0.510.52-0.083-81111.715.2-3.4617.118.2-1.12
Brian Grant4445-0.05-0.450.400.18-83-1114.914.00.9518.717.41.29
Jim Jackson5452-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-5514.414.40.0318.018.0-0.04
Rasheed Wallace7574-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-3-2-114.015.2-1.2517.718.5-0.76
Isaiah Rider8988-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.29-72-914.712.72.0517.818.6-0.76
Arvydas Sabonis7071-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-2-3115.412.52.8818.317.40.88
Walt Williams6977-0.590.09-0.69-0.621-6714.015.0-1.0117.918.1-0.12
Damon Stoudamire8183-0.860.36-1.22-0.62-83-1115.112.12.9816.722.4-5.75

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Cummings53530.77-0.271.040.0923-184116.719.2-2.5613.415.3-1.86
Donyell Marshall67660.58-0.080.660.5514-317.119.4-2.2714.114.9-0.82
Chris Mills95940.400.100.300.43-16-717.521.7-4.2214.215.8-1.68
Tony Delk42430.370.130.240.43-27-916.518.9-2.4615.014.01.01
Jason Caffey63620.320.180.130.52-712-1918.916.72.1414.514.10.42
Antawn Jamison32320.170.33-0.15-0.068-31116.718.5-1.7913.214.9-1.65
Muggsy Bogues66640.160.34-0.18-0.109-41318.916.52.4614.015.0-1.01
Duane Ferrell10-0.040.54-0.590.02-27-92.018.1-16.130.014.4-14.37
John Starks6062-0.090.59-0.68-0.297-2919.016.62.4015.712.53.18
Erick Dampier6160-0.180.68-0.870.20-1318-3119.815.64.1914.913.71.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 101, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,188.0%
WAS 117, OKC 1240.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.85,0.98,186.6%
WAS 95, IND 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.9,0.83,186.6%