NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	12.4 [9]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +33.1%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	2.3 [510]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -35.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	38%	0.02	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Devean George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11	-0.10	0.01	0.02	24	46%	0.00	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.09
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	4	25%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.26	0.01	-0.25	0.01	31	53%	-0.10	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.04	0.30	0.01	10	78%	0.56	4	-0.23	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.25,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.02	-0.23	0.00	24	56%	0.07	5	-0.33	7	71%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	10	30%	-0.14	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	30.5	19.4	28.0	1.8	36.0	1.6	15.4	1.7	21.3	186.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +87.5%

UTA +3.4%

UTA +2.6%

LAL -49.3%

UTA +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.2	90.2	95.5	101.7
season	15.3	16.3		105.6	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		100.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	12.2	16.1	17.5	15.4	20.4	15.6
UTA	17.8	13.2	16.0	17.4	17.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	58	56	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-12	20	14.6	16.5	-1.86	16.7	14.9	1.90
Ron Harper	55	54	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-7	10	16.1	15.0	1.13	16.3	15.3	1.01
Rick Fox	19	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	15.6	15.5	0.12	14.7	16.0	-1.38
Glen Rice	75	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	15.6	15.4	0.19	16.7	13.9	2.75
Derek Fisher	70	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-13	22	15.4	15.7	-0.29	16.5	14.8	1.69
Devean George	11	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	15.2	15.6	-0.39	12.4	16.1	-3.67
Shaquille O'Neal	107	104	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-10	16	15.6	14.8	0.77	16.1	10.8	5.27
Travis Knight	1	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	20.0	15.5	4.50	12.3	15.9	-3.58
Brian Shaw	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	5	-14	17.0	15.3	1.66	11.8	16.4	-4.50
Robert Horry	54	54	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	8	-20	16.5	14.6	1.86	14.9	16.7	-1.90
Kobe Bryant	86	86	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	7	-18	15.0	17.2	-2.16	15.6	16.7	-1.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	88	88	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	15.9	15.5	0.34	16.1	13.4	2.70
Greg Ostertag	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	15.5	16.5	-1.02	16.3	13.9	2.35
Quincy Lewis	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	14.3	17.7	-3.41	14.5	16.7	-2.27
John Stockton	89	90	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	15.8	16.0	-0.22	16.2	12.9	3.27
Bryon Russell	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-8	20	16.2	14.9	1.28	16.8	12.7	4.15
Jeff Hornacek	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.37	-8	12	-20	16.6	15.3	1.29	13.7	16.7	-3.01
Adam Keefe	5	7	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	2	0	11.4	16.0	-4.63	12.7	15.7	-3.01
Jacque Vaughn	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	5	-6	15.1	15.9	-0.81	11.0	16.0	-5.03
Howard Eisley	49	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	7	-10	16.7	15.1	1.58	16.5	14.8	1.74
Scott Padgett	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	5	-6	14.5	15.8	-1.34	8.5	15.7	-7.16
Armen Gilliam	20	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	15.6	15.9	-0.21	13.9	15.9	-2.08
Olden Polynice	32	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	13	-22	17.2	15.3	1.93	14.0	16.1	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.92,1	88.0%
PHX 92, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	87.5%
OKC 87, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.57,0.9,0.98,1	87.0%