inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 117 Excitement13.1 [8] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +37.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 124 Comeback5.5 [421] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -40.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Booker0.270,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.130.160.011175%0.332-0.06650%-0.04
Nick Young0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.12,0.02,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09-0.020.110.003344%0.121-0.03771%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.040.012052%0.0200.002100%0.02
Yi Jianlian0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.00650%0.0100.00683%0.01
Mustafa Shakur0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01217%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Al Thornton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.05-0.00560%0.042-0.1000%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.110.011252%-0.061-0.041100%0.01
John Wall-0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.31,-0.31,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41-0.10-0.33-0.021931%-0.4100.00450%-0.20

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.28,0.36,0.370.370.120.25-0.002860%0.504-0.131173%-0.04
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.04-0.03950%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.050.01865%0.123-0.06475%-0.01
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01567%0.0200.002100%0.01
James Harden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.01650%0.021-0.014100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00550%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.030.002100%0.091-0.1100%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.16,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.07,-0.22,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2-0.200.03-0.220.012455%0.064-0.261669%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game29.01.831.115.728.02.739.50.813.21.510.0173.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +69.8%
OKC +14.6%
WAS -13.5%
WAS -23.1%
OKC +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASOKCNBAWASOKCNBA
this game17.113.915.5103.5111.7105.7
season15.115.0100.9108.8
opponent15.615.2105.4108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS14.716.917.419.517.217.1
OKC15.313.712.611.817.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Thornton39370.09-0.590.670.26-6-1-516.917.2-0.2814.513.70.78
Trevor Booker85850.04-0.540.580.040-7717.815.02.8013.714.7-1.04
Hilton Armstrong210.01-0.510.520.010-7710.017.2-7.2318.013.94.10
Mustafa Shakur1413-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-4116.817.2-0.3712.914.1-1.15
Kevin Seraphin1211-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-5313.117.6-4.5014.913.81.08
Nick Young104101-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.250-7716.821.0-4.2313.914.4-0.51
Andray Blatche4950-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.514-111517.416.90.4613.714.1-0.47
John Wall9998-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.38-4-3-117.216.80.3714.112.91.15
Rashard Lewis9797-0.720.22-0.95-0.49-81-917.216.80.3414.013.80.17
Yi Jianlian5654-0.740.24-0.98-0.27-169-2517.217.00.2913.414.5-1.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison57580.70-0.200.900.2316-92513.414.5-1.1317.217.00.21
Daequan Cook42460.65-0.150.810.3610-31314.113.80.2916.017.8-1.79
Kevin Durant92940.490.010.490.2970713.814.5-0.7117.316.11.20
Jeff Green91930.350.150.200.41-29-1113.515.8-2.2716.818.7-2.00
Russell Westbrook85870.300.200.100.3007-713.714.7-0.9917.117.00.09
Eric Maynor26260.200.30-0.10-0.0170714.713.70.9917.017.1-0.09
Serge Ibaka25260.030.47-0.43-0.0534-114.713.70.9615.817.5-1.69
James Harden7876-0.090.59-0.69-0.06-18-913.814.3-0.5217.915.42.53
Nenad Krstic4343-0.140.64-0.780.01-512-1714.013.90.1016.817.3-0.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.85,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 100, GSW 1050.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.92,186.6%
LAL 101, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,185.8%
MIL 99, CLE 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.9,185.4%