NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	12.8 [11]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): +16.7%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	13.0 [177]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -35.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	13	63%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	7	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.25	-0.20	-0.07	-0.02	23	33%	-0.08	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31,-0.31,-0.41,-0.46,-0.34,-0.35	-0.09	-0.28	-0.01	24	37%	-0.26	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.03	0.19	-0.00	11	37%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	22	52%	0.19	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.18	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	10	30%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.12	2	-0.14	1	0%	-0.04
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.06,-0.2,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42,-0.42,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.41,-0.3	-0.30	-0.02	-0.28	0.00	25	48%	-0.14	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.3	2.8	31.2	17.4	25.3	3.5	33.8	2.7	22.2	2.5	15.5	178.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +77.0%

WAS -22.9%

IND +3.5%

WAS -23.0%

IND +15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	17.4	15.1	89.6	92.5	104.2
season	15.1	16.0		102.9	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	12.8	14.3	17.2	16.5	15.6	15.2
IND	17.9	17.6	17.0	17.0	17.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	28	27	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.05	10	-14	24	14.9	15.3	-0.44	16.7	17.7	-1.05
Ramon Sessions	27	27	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.07	9	-13	22	14.7	15.4	-0.74	16.7	17.7	-1.05
Otto Porter	67	67	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-8	12	15.4	14.8	0.63	17.8	16.8	1.00
Rasual Butler	28	30	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-12	20	13.0	16.0	-2.96	16.6	17.8	-1.13
Will Bynum	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-7	10	14.0	15.2	-1.23	2.0	17.6	-15.59
Kris Humphries	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-3	2	14.3	15.7	-1.38	17.5	17.4	0.06
Paul Pierce	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	3	-10	15.6	15.0	0.59	16.9	17.7	-0.82
Drew Gooden	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	0	-4	15.7	14.3	1.41	18.0	16.4	1.68
Bradley Beal	73	75	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	7	-18	15.8	14.0	1.81	17.8	16.6	1.18
John Wall	79	80	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.45	-13	9	-22	15.4	14.7	0.74	17.7	16.7	1.05
Marcin Gortat	78	80	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.43	-14	10	-24	15.3	14.9	0.44	17.7	16.7	1.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	70	66	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.57	14	-10	24	17.1	18.2	-1.13	15.7	14.4	1.23
CJ Miles	79	76	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.55	12	-8	20	17.4	17.6	-0.17	15.3	15.0	0.26
George Hill	88	86	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-11	26	17.5	17.2	0.35	15.4	14.3	1.07
David West	76	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-2	8	17.1	18.2	-1.09	15.4	14.7	0.76
Paul George	29	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	3	-2	18.3	17.1	1.13	16.0	14.9	1.06
Solomon Hill	43	41	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	5	-6	17.4	17.5	-0.13	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Luis Scola	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.06	-2	6	-8	18.2	17.1	1.09	14.7	15.4	-0.76
Lavoy Allen	14	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	19.3	17.2	2.11	13.5	15.5	-2.04
Ian Mahinmi	23	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	8	-12	17.5	17.4	0.09	15.0	15.3	-0.23
Donald Sloan	18	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.05	-8	12	-20	18.0	17.3	0.66	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Rodney Stuckey	53	56	-0.69	1.19	-1.88	-0.37	-11	15	-26	17.5	17.4	0.08	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.9,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.92,1	86.6%
PHX 113, CHH 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	85.1%
UTA 94, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.72,1	84.9%