NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	13.4 [6]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +118.5%
Charlotte Hornets	120		Comeback	4.8 [280]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -62.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39	0.04	0.33	-0.02	13	55%	0.39	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.09
Antonio McDyess	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.01	20	70%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.03	13	69%	0.28	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	2	67%	-0.09	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.32,-0.45,-0.39,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	20	42%	-0.14	3	-0.12	8	75%	-0.11
George McCloud	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	10	20%	-0.18	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.25,1.13,1.13,1.13,1.21,1.19,1.19	1.19	0.07	1.13	0.02	29	60%	1.34	3	-0.16	12	75%	-0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	72%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Michael McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.23,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.46,-0.46,-0.49,-0.49	-0.49	-0.19	-0.29	0.01	17	26%	-0.36	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.53,-0.53,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62	-0.62	-0.12	-0.48	0.02	11	43%	-0.18	4	-0.45	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	23.6	15.6	28.4	2.5	38.6	1.8	21.1	1.6	19.7	181.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.5%

CHH +28.2%

CHH +23.9%

PHX -35.3%

CHH +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHH	NBA	PHX	CHH	NBA
this game	15.0	17.7	15.6	106.6	112.1	102.5
season	15.0	15.7		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.0	15.3	13.8	17.6	15.3	14.9
CHH	18.3	18.1	18.9	16.7	14.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	39	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-13	19	15.6	14.6	1.09	19.0	17.0	2.01
George McCloud	39	43	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.35	-7	0	-7	15.6	14.6	1.01	16.5	18.5	-2.08
Hot Rod Williams	43	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-7	7	14.4	15.3	-0.94	19.3	16.7	2.62
Antonio McDyess	73	74	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-7	7	15.1	14.5	0.59	18.0	17.0	1.03
Steve Nash	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.7	13.7	2.03	17.3	18.3	-0.98
Danny Manning	54	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	0	-7	13.4	16.6	-3.26	17.4	18.0	-0.58
Rex Chapman	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	14.4	16.8	-2.36	17.0	20.1	-3.13
Jason Kidd	64	65	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	1	-9	15.0	14.9	0.16	18.6	16.3	2.35
Mark Bryant	60	61	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.62	-9	2	-11	15.5	14.2	1.26	17.5	18.0	-0.47

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	77	80	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.52	7	0	7	18.0	17.0	0.94	16.0	11.8	4.22
Glen Rice	87	87	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	17.7	17.9	-0.23	15.9	10.6	5.26
Anthony Mason	99	98	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	1	5	17.5	20.9	-3.42	14.9	15.0	-0.05
David Wesley	90	90	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.43	1	6	-5	18.5	13.5	5.04	15.4	12.4	3.04
Donald Royal	20	19	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	2	3	16.3	18.0	-1.67	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Corey Beck	50	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	6	-5	17.5	17.9	-0.47	15.2	14.7	0.51
B.J. Armstrong	41	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	16.6	18.4	-1.82	13.8	15.7	-1.96
J.R. Reid	33	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.06	1	6	-5	19.1	17.1	1.95	12.0	16.1	-4.07
Travis Williams	29	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.18	4	3	1	15.9	18.4	-2.54	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Michael McDonald	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	13	-19	21.2	17.4	3.83	10.6	15.3	-4.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 118, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,1	91.3%
MEM 103, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.35,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	86.4%
SAS 83, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.5,0.75,0.55,0.34,0.24,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	86.4%