NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	83		Excitement	12.9 [8]		MVP	Jud Buechler (CHI): +2.5%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	54.9 [19]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -43.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carl Herrera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	14	56%	0.17	4	-0.23	6	50%	-0.04
Cory Alexander	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	6	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	32%	-0.04	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.04
David Robinson	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	20	46%	0.03	6	-0.24	6	83%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35	-0.08	-0.28	-0.01	13	43%	-0.15	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.05
Sean Elliott	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44	-0.21	-0.24	-0.01	10	19%	-0.31	5	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	13	42%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	12	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	9	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.18,-0.14,-0.27,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	12	53%	0.10	5	-0.36	8	87%	0.08
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	10	12%	-0.23	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.08
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.29,-0.36,-0.43,-0.55,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.23,-0.41,-0.37	-0.37	-0.24	-0.14	-0.00	39	35%	-0.25	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	24.5	15.6	29.1	0.1	31.3	1.8	16.5	1.8	23.9	169.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -22.8%

SAS -7.4%

CHI +45.3%

CHI +36.0%

SAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	17.8	15.6	77.6	82.1	102.5
season	15.9	16.2		100.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	12.5	15.9	17.3	16.0	14.3	15.3
CHI	19.7	20.1	13.5	18.6	16.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	42	41	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-12	20	15.0	14.8	0.23	19.6	16.7	2.82
Reggie Geary	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	1.0	15.0	-13.99	0.0	17.8	-17.83
Will Perdue	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.5	19.1	-4.60
Monty Williams	43	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.2	-0.93	16.8	18.5	-1.63
Cory Alexander	28	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-2	0	12.4	15.7	-3.29	16.1	18.5	-2.33
Carl Herrera	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	1	-6	15.3	14.8	0.46	20.9	17.4	3.48
Tim Duncan	87	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-5	6	14.3	17.1	-2.76	18.0	17.0	0.99
Sean Elliott	75	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	15.2	14.1	1.14	19.4	13.4	5.98
Avery Johnson	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.4	13.2	2.20	18.1	17.1	0.96
David Robinson	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.5	12.5	2.97	18.3	15.6	2.75
Jaren Jackson	52	50	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.42	-10	6	-16	15.2	14.5	0.65	15.4	20.0	-4.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	23	22	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	15.9	18.4	-2.45	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Ron Harper	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	1	2	18.5	16.6	1.91	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Toni Kukoc	35	35	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.49	-1	5	-6	16.3	18.6	-2.35	15.2	14.7	0.55
Jud Buechler	22	25	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-9	22	20.0	17.3	2.74	15.6	14.6	0.97
Steve Kerr	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	1	2	18.1	17.5	0.61	13.9	15.8	-1.85
Michael Jordan	89	89	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	10	-16	17.2	21.1	-3.85	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Luc Longley	84	86	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	3	-2	17.1	20.6	-3.54	15.4	12.8	2.61
Randy Brown	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	17.2	18.1	-0.99	15.4	14.6	0.72
Joe Kleine	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	19.8	17.4	2.45	13.0	15.3	-2.26
Dennis Rodman	83	82	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	18.7	14.6	4.17	15.0	14.4	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.5,0.75,0.55,0.34,0.24,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 118, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,1	88.1%
PHX 113, CHH 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	86.4%
TOR 99, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	84.7%