NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	8.2 [219]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +31.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	2.2 [582]		LVP	Luol Deng (CLE): -20.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.09	0.22	0.00	11	86%	0.40	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.23,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.01	25	52%	0.26	0	0.00	13	69%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	15	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Patrick Patterson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	5	30%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.01	6	71%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.23	3	-0.21	4	100%	0.08
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.02	22	52%	0.11	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.03	12	62%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	14	24%	-0.17	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.6	32.0	15.4	27.5	2.5	40.3	141.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.0%

CLE -12.5%

TOR +5.7%

TOR +17.9%

TOR +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.1	111.2	101.1	105.2
season	15.9	15.2		107.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	17.0	17.3	15.6	16.7
CLE	18.0	13.8	14.0	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	47	48	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-7	20	16.5	17.0	-0.56	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Amir Johnson	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	1	4	16.3	18.1	-1.81	15.5	14.2	1.29
DeMar DeRozan	73	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	17.0	15.4	1.58	15.5	13.3	2.24
Terrence Ross	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	3	0	15.9	18.6	-2.74	15.6	14.2	1.40
Kyle Lowry	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	5	-4	16.3	17.9	-1.54	15.2	14.9	0.27
Tyler Hansbrough	30	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	18.6	15.8	2.87	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Greivis Vasquez	31	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	2	2	18.5	15.8	2.64	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Steve Novak	0	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	0.0	16.7	-16.73	8.0	15.2	-7.20
John Salmons	36	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	4	-2	16.9	16.6	0.22	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Jonas Valanciunas	34	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	16	-26	16.3	17.0	-0.71	15.8	14.7	1.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	57	56	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.05	10	-16	26	14.8	15.6	-0.82	17.6	15.3	2.32
Jarrett Jack	51	49	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.02	8	-14	22	15.1	15.2	-0.09	16.7	16.7	0.01
Alonzo Gee	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	0	-6	17.9	14.8	3.07	13.4	17.1	-3.69
Anthony Bennett	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	2	-10	15.6	15.0	0.54	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Spencer Hawes	61	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-9	12	15.1	15.2	-0.16	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Luol Deng	76	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	14.9	15.9	-0.99	16.9	15.8	1.12
Kyrie Irving	86	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.5	-0.41	16.9	13.6	3.32
Matthew Dellavedova	55	52	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.22	-16	10	-26	14.9	15.5	-0.66	16.7	16.8	-0.14
Tyler Zeller	47	47	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	11	-28	15.6	14.7	0.89	16.1	17.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.2,0.01,0	93.3%
CHI 93, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,0	91.8%
DEN 111, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.16,0	91.5%