NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	118		Excitement	14.4 [4]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +63.5%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	143.9 [13]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -38.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	13	90%	0.33	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.08	-0.03	0.12	0.02	25	50%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.03	-0.05	11	41%	0.08	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.09
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	17	52%	-0.05	4	-0.10	10	80%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	15	44%	0.12	5	-0.29	6	33%	-0.28

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,0.11,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.35,0.56,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.64	0.64	0.19	0.55	0.10	29	60%	0.79	1	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	9	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.09	0.00	11	78%	0.26	2	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Garret Siler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	65%	0.15	6	-0.23	8	50%	-0.10
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	5	36%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.14	0.02	18	57%	0.02	7	-0.23	8	87%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.09	-0.29	-0.01	6	7%	-0.38	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	29.8	1.8	31.2	15.7	26.2	2.6	43.7	1.8	20.9	1.6	22.9	198.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.9%

PHX +7.4%

PHX +53.6%

MEM -31.9%

MEM -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	15.5	99.2	102.5	105.7
season	15.5	14.5		106.1	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	14.6	16.1	16.7	18.2	13.2	15.8
PHX	13.7	12.2	12.8	12.3	16.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	5	6	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-4	3	10.6	16.0	-5.43	12.3	13.4	-1.05
Acie Law	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	14.4	16.1	-1.64	11.9	13.6	-1.72
Tony Allen	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-1	-3	16.5	15.5	1.01	10.7	14.3	-3.58
Sam Young	5	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	25.0	15.4	9.61	7.2	13.5	-6.29
Darrell Arthur	57	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-4	3	14.9	16.6	-1.77	12.9	13.7	-0.75
Marc Gasol	92	94	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-1	-3	16.6	13.2	3.33	13.7	12.1	1.55
Rudy Gay	102	105	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.9	15.3	0.59	13.6	11.6	1.98
O.J. Mayo	104	106	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	15.2	19.7	-4.50	14.0	8.4	5.63
Zach Randolph	75	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	16.1	15.3	0.73	12.6	14.5	-1.88
Mike Conley	96	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.9	15.5	0.40	13.8	11.8	1.95

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	81	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	0	5	14.2	11.5	2.77	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Jason Richardson	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	4	-3	14.1	11.1	3.01	15.2	17.4	-2.16
Jared Dudley	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	11.3	14.4	-3.08	16.1	15.6	0.50
Grant Hill	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.37	-3	8	-11	13.1	13.5	-0.32	16.3	15.5	0.83
Josh Childress	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	11.7	14.0	-2.37	17.4	15.1	2.31
Hakim Warrick	79	80	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	1	3	13.2	13.6	-0.46	15.4	16.6	-1.22
Garret Siler	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	0	5	13.0	13.4	-0.41	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Channing Frye	54	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	13.1	13.6	-0.51	16.6	15.1	1.46
Goran Dragic	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	5	-5	11.5	14.2	-2.77	16.4	15.5	0.94
Robin Lopez	27	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	14.3	13.1	1.19	16.2	15.7	0.46
Hedo Turkoglu	72	71	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.24	4	1	3	14.5	11.6	2.92	15.8	15.7	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 113, CHH 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	91.3%
SAS 83, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.5,0.75,0.55,0.34,0.24,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	88.1%
BOS 111, ATL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.29,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.85,0.98,1,1	86.5%