inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement10.8 [43] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +17.1%
Atlanta Hawks 123 Comeback37.6 [68] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -76.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Bradley0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.040.12-0.011164%0.192-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Lee0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.02-0.011064%0.1200.005100%0.07
Jason Terry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.040.02692%0.121-0.011100%0.00
Jeff Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.12-0.020.05871%0.081-0.038100%0.03
Kevin Garnett0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.030.021863%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Collins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.0340%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.0130%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.320,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32-0.13-0.20-0.001340%-0.225-0.114100%0.01
Rajon Rondo-0.770,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.6,-0.6,-0.68,-0.68,-0.77,-0.77,-0.77-0.13-0.65-0.011844%-0.196-0.5800%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.29,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.25-0.070.011393%0.331-0.163100%0.01
Ivan Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.10-0.01865%0.181-0.021100%0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.080.051559%0.292-0.191191%0.09
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.081182%0.142-0.05683%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.050.000.02425%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.01714%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.012035%-0.092-0.04933%-0.09
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.02-0.270.021347%-0.082-0.234100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.91.732.215.824.22.432.21.612.11.814.1162.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +40.2%
ATL +7.8%
BOS -18.6%
ATL +18.8%
ATL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game15.315.415.4100.0106.0104.1
season14.915.1101.2102.6
opponent15.516.2102.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS12.015.817.816.514.415.3
ATL19.313.613.714.815.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Collins23240.46-0.961.41-0.1320-325212.416.1-3.6819.814.25.65
Jeff Green56560.30-0.801.090.039-213015.415.20.2116.714.12.56
Brandon Bass41410.01-0.510.520.22-7-5-214.715.7-0.9914.315.9-1.60
Courtney Lee5052-0.02-0.480.47-0.3110-223214.815.7-0.9215.715.00.68
Leandro Barbosa68-0.02-0.480.460.10-4-8417.515.22.3212.615.6-2.93
Jason Terry3840-0.13-0.370.23-0.347-192614.715.6-0.9516.314.81.48
Jared Sullinger4244-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-8416.014.91.0817.214.22.98
Rajon Rondo8589-0.540.04-0.580.04-208-2815.614.51.1015.215.9-0.75
Kevin Garnett7880-0.680.18-0.85-0.12-197-2615.914.01.9014.218.0-3.84
Avery Bradley5862-0.700.20-0.89-0.05-2210-3215.515.10.4414.216.6-2.42
Paul Pierce7884-0.900.40-1.31-0.02-3018-4815.514.80.6914.417.7-3.31

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris78730.99-0.491.490.2326-144014.916.4-1.5116.014.01.95
Kyle Korver89850.83-0.331.170.0128-164414.916.8-1.8615.813.62.26
Al Horford103990.79-0.291.08-0.0328-164415.216.5-1.3315.414.50.90
Josh Smith94890.65-0.150.790.2613-11415.016.9-1.8615.713.72.03
Jannero Pargo40380.350.150.200.35012-1217.514.23.3514.815.5-0.71
Mike Scott99-0.000.50-0.50-0.06210-810.015.8-5.8016.715.21.48
Jeff Teague8278-0.110.61-0.72-0.3484414.417.7-3.3315.614.61.04
DeShawn Stevenson1716-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-214-1614.815.4-0.6214.815.4-0.58
John Jenkins1212-0.130.63-0.770.07-719-2616.015.30.7212.215.7-3.43
Zaza Pachulia2222-0.310.81-1.130.13-1527-4219.014.54.5612.915.9-2.99
Ivan Johnson3434-0.450.95-1.390.17-2133-5417.914.33.5813.516.1-2.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.29,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.85,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 118, PHX 1230.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,186.5%
HOU 101, LAL 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.29,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.96,0.98,1,185.0%
PHX 113, CHH 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,183.3%