inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement8.2 [119] MVPCalbert Cheaney (WAS): +24.6%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback30.1 [46] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -45.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dee Brown0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.110.040.080.011457%0.131-0.02250%-0.03
Charles Oakley0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.011175%0.133-0.072100%0.04
John Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.01562%0.062-0.0630%-0.05
Michael Stewart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Slater-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.00567%0.053-0.082100%0.01
John Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mark Baker-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.070.02-0.09-0.001056%-0.0700.00580%0.01
Alvin Williams-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.01835%-0.051-0.044100%0.02
Vince Carter-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.01729%-0.042-0.0700%0.00
Doug Christie-0.450,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0.03,-0.45-0.06-0.40-0.001357%-0.195-0.264100%0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.250.250.030.230.011168%0.333-0.0800%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001161%0.092-0.0510%-0.03
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.030.030.040.040.052055%0.061-0.03786%0.03
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00267%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Tim Legler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01233%-0.021-0.012100%0.01
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00736%-0.061-0.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.11-0.021647%-0.075-0.122100%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.16-0.05-0.011340%-0.122-0.071457%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.529.915.826.21.842.2143.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +24.3%
WAS +0.3%
TOR -9.5%
WAS +30.4%
WAS +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game15.414.615.8100.0103.299.6
season15.615.599.098.8
opponent15.915.9101.3101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.515.218.114.015.4
WAS14.314.814.614.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Stewart34320.40-0.901.310.178-91716.914.52.3615.114.40.63
Vince Carter62620.25-0.751.000.057-81516.213.82.3814.814.40.38
John Thomas36320.13-0.630.760.072-3515.715.10.5914.614.7-0.12
Mark Baker33-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-10-122.715.17.5510.714.8-4.11
Alvin Williams6359-0.04-0.460.420.14-65-1114.716.6-1.9115.213.71.53
John Wallace2121-0.19-0.310.110.07-98-1712.316.2-3.9115.614.41.19
Tracy McGrady4445-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.515-61115.015.7-0.7213.915.3-1.43
Dee Brown5251-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.451-2315.415.30.1615.014.20.82
Charles Oakley6968-0.600.10-0.70-0.51-32-516.312.93.4013.916.4-2.52
Reggie Slater3437-0.740.24-0.98-0.740-1113.316.4-3.1215.114.30.81
Doug Christie6765-0.890.39-1.27-0.62-98-1715.116.0-0.9414.415.2-0.77

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney71731.09-0.591.690.5718-173514.415.5-1.0915.315.5-0.20
Juwan Howard69700.66-0.160.830.3710-91914.116.0-1.8715.914.01.87
Mitch Richmond87890.62-0.120.750.514-3714.714.50.1615.316.4-1.12
Rod Strickland80800.440.060.380.53-34-714.515.6-1.1414.619.0-4.42
Terry Davis66660.200.30-0.100.44-89-1714.914.10.7316.313.32.98
Chris Whitney15170.060.44-0.38-0.064-3715.614.51.1419.014.64.42
Tracy Murray3030-0.030.53-0.570.26-1011-2114.414.8-0.4013.416.2-2.78
Tim Legler1213-0.210.71-0.92-0.04-67-1316.714.32.4116.615.21.46
Otis Thorpe4547-0.340.84-1.17-0.22-45-915.114.20.9314.416.3-1.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 104, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.15,191.8%
MIN 95, DEN 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.15,190.8%
DET 111, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,190.0%