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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 95 Excitement7.5 [405] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +38.5%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback191.3 [22] LVPTyus Jones (MIN): -11.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cameron Reynolds0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.210.180.050.011186%0.2100.0000%0.00
C.J. Williams0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.060.002150%0.1400.0000%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jared Terrell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Josh Okogie-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.02-0.00530%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Dario Saric-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.011338%-0.041-0.023100%0.02
Andrew Wiggins-0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.070.10-0.150.012061%0.152-0.2210%-0.02
Gorgui Dieng-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.04-0.032045%0.045-0.1400%0.00
Tyus Jones-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12-0.05-0.070.001233%-0.1200.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.390.390.040.350.011261%0.442-0.06450%-0.03
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.040.00250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00844%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01-0.010.010.010.032654%0.114-0.122100%0.05
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001035%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.030.02756%0.002-0.05250%-0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.020.031152%-0.013-0.05580%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.080.011045%-0.081-0.02250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.423.913.723.61.836.2125.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +12.1%
DEN +9.1%
DEN +19.0%
DEN +11.6%
MIN -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.214.414.396.9102.1109.3
season14.414.8110.2112.0
opponent14.614.0108.1111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.813.515.517.215.2
DEN12.814.814.515.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
C.J. Williams32330.53-1.031.560.2011-152614.715.4-0.7816.913.03.83
Keita Bates-Diop36340.31-0.811.120.136-101615.115.3-0.2016.813.03.76
Anthony Tolliver43420.23-0.730.950.085-91414.216.0-1.7814.814.00.77
Jared Terrell11100.04-0.540.59-0.022-6815.515.10.4115.314.21.06
Josh Okogie3738-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-1-215.515.00.5712.815.3-2.48
Cameron Reynolds5151-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.456-101615.115.2-0.1015.313.32.07
Dario Saric5959-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.43-1-3216.213.62.5614.114.8-0.68
Andrew Wiggins7574-0.630.13-0.77-0.40-84-1215.314.80.4714.115.3-1.25
Tyus Jones7271-1.020.52-1.54-0.46-1915-3415.215.00.2013.416.8-3.41
Gorgui Dieng7473-1.070.57-1.64-0.51-1915-3414.916.1-1.2513.217.9-4.68

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap67680.97-0.471.440.4717-133013.416.6-3.2115.215.00.22
Jamal Murray69710.95-0.451.390.4816-122813.616.2-2.6215.713.91.79
Nikola Jokic74760.84-0.341.180.3716-122813.417.3-3.8115.414.50.88
Will Barton69690.73-0.230.960.479-51413.516.5-3.0715.414.70.65
Gary Harris81810.57-0.070.630.396-2813.916.6-2.7215.016.2-1.27
Malik Beasley3232-0.310.81-1.12-0.04-913-2216.313.42.8814.915.3-0.41
Torrey Craig2525-0.320.82-1.14-0.02-1014-2416.613.63.0814.415.4-1.00
Monte Morris4041-0.430.93-1.37-0.14-1014-2416.512.83.7414.715.6-0.90
Mason Plumlee2827-0.490.99-1.48-0.05-1519-3417.113.23.8315.115.2-0.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.15,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 107, DAL 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,192.1%
DAL 90, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.16,191.3%
PHI 105, CHA 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.27,190.9%