NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	9.0 [117]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +70.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	106		Comeback	39.0 [43]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -30.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.20	0.17	-0.02	15	76%	0.39	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	18	48%	0.25	4	-0.22	10	80%	0.12
Primoz Brezec	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	0.00	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	18	42%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.06

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.7	0.70	0.27	0.45	0.02	12	104%	0.75	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.18,0.12,0.5	0.50	0.08	0.41	-0.01	11	67%	0.54	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	82%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	18	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	6	0%	-0.15	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.18	0.01	12	46%	-0.14	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	30.2	15.6	25.9	1.8	43.2	143.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +75.0%

PHI -8.5%

PHI -24.7%

CHA +4.1%

CHA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.3	109.4	110.4	106.0
season	15.1	16.2		104.2	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	13.4	13.0	17.5	14.9
CHA	14.4	15.4	17.5	13.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	12	13	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.12	10	-11	21	13.2	15.1	-1.96	16.5	14.9	1.56
Jason Kapono	53	54	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-8	15	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Jason Smith	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-1	1	14.3	15.0	-0.67	16.0	15.0	1.04
Elton Brand	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	6	-13	15.4	12.9	2.44	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Andre Iguodala	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	14.9	14.0	0.94	15.2	13.8	1.37
Rodney Carney	35	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-1	1	13.3	15.8	-2.43	15.2	15.1	0.08
Willie Green	81	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	15.2	12.9	2.31	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Thaddeus Young	85	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.60	-1	0	-1	14.7	16.4	-1.67	15.1	15.0	0.13
Samuel Dalembert	35	33	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.45	-12	11	-23	15.1	14.8	0.27	15.4	15.0	0.43

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	72	73	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.54	15	-14	29	14.3	17.5	-3.12	15.7	12.3	3.34
Boris Diaw	70	72	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.60	3	-2	5	15.3	14.7	0.58	15.5	13.1	2.35
Stephen Jackson	90	91	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-5	11	14.7	21.0	-6.28	15.0	12.6	2.41
Gerald Wallace	92	92	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	1	-1	15.2	14.2	0.90	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Gerald Henderson	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-6	13	13.4	16.3	-2.85	15.8	14.2	1.61
Tyson Chandler	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-5	11	16.0	14.5	1.51	15.7	14.4	1.32
Ronald Murray	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	11	-21	17.1	14.4	2.71	11.7	16.0	-4.33
Stephen Graham	6	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	21.0	14.7	6.28	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Derrick Brown	23	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.13	-5	6	-11	15.1	15.1	-0.04	12.5	15.6	-3.09
Nazr Mohammed	24	21	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.06	-10	11	-21	16.1	14.8	1.35	13.2	15.4	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,1	92.1%
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	91.1%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,1	91.0%