NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	7.5 [299]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +39.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	98.0 [18]		LVP	A.C. Green (DAL): -20.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Eric Riley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	17	45%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.03	18	60%	0.08	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
A.C. Green	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.03	-0.19	-0.01	10	41%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.4	0.40	-0.02	0.45	0.03	16	73%	0.69	9	-0.29	5	60%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	68%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.07	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.5	15.6	22.2	2.4	41.1	136.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +66.5%

PHI +19.8%

DAL -11.6%

DAL -25.7%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	19.3	12.6	15.6	98.9	102.2	102.5
season	15.8	15.4		98.3	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.8	18.8	17.6	23.6	19.3
PHI	11.9	11.2	15.1	12.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	24	25	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.08	13	-14	27	19.9	19.1	0.83	11.8	12.9	-1.14
Eric Riley	7	8	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.12	10	-11	21	10.9	20.0	-9.15	16.5	12.2	4.27
Erick Strickland	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	7	-15	20.9	18.6	2.24	12.1	12.8	-0.67
Dennis Scott	78	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.53	14	-15	29	19.7	17.2	2.42	13.0	10.4	2.54
Martin Muursepp	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	4	-9	19.6	19.3	0.31	9.0	12.8	-3.83
Khalid Reeves	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.71	14	-15	29	18.4	21.8	-3.44	14.0	9.0	4.95
Shawn Bradley	53	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	16	-33	18.9	19.8	-0.92	12.9	12.3	0.62
Hubert Davis	49	50	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.45	-9	8	-17	22.4	15.7	6.72	10.7	15.1	-4.42
A.C. Green	70	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	8	-17	19.0	20.3	-1.27	12.7	12.3	0.46
Michael Finley	75	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.54	-8	7	-15	18.3	24.1	-5.77	12.4	13.6	-1.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	21	20	1.21	-0.71	1.92	0.66	19	-18	37	12.6	12.6	0.00	24.3	17.9	6.40
Aaron McKie	36	37	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.63	12	-11	23	11.5	13.4	-1.92	20.6	18.4	2.17
Jim Jackson	60	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.65	-5	6	-11	12.7	12.4	0.35	17.7	22.9	-5.23
Theo Ratliff	65	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.59	-6	7	-13	13.2	10.9	2.33	18.7	21.1	-2.41
Allen Iverson	80	83	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.49	-8	9	-17	12.5	13.4	-0.92	19.0	22.0	-2.95
Derrick Coleman	70	73	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.28	6	-5	11	12.3	13.6	-1.29	19.0	20.4	-1.35
Tim Thomas	43	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	4	-7	13.8	11.5	2.36	17.7	20.8	-3.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	42	41	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.23	-1	2	-3	12.3	12.9	-0.67	21.2	17.7	3.48
Mark Davis	29	27	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.09	-11	12	-23	12.1	12.8	-0.71	20.5	18.8	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.15,1	91.3%
BOS 107, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,1	90.8%
ORL 94, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.09,1	90.7%