NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	9.5 [69]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): +57.3%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	3.6 [264]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -34.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.57	0.17	0.41	0.01	17	81%	0.68	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Maurice Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pooh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	20	45%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Ike Austin	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34	-0.13	-0.23	-0.03	15	32%	-0.29	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.01	16	59%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Duane Ferrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	14	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	18	61%	-0.03	4	-0.14	10	70%	-0.05
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.22	-0.01	11	49%	-0.05	2	-0.25	13	69%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	25.5	15.8	22.3	1.6	38.2	129.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +54.7%

GSW -2.1%

GSW -28.4%

LAC +28.8%

GSW -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	15.6	112.6	106.2	102.5
season	15.5	15.6		101.0	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	15.4	14.4	15.2	14.5
GSW	13.9	14.6	16.9	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	61	60	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	14.4	14.9	-0.49	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	80	79	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-3	11	14.3	15.8	-1.50	16.2	12.9	3.25
Rodney Rogers	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	14.4	15.1	-0.78	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Lamond Murray	75	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	14.4	15.0	-0.65	16.1	13.8	2.31
Ike Austin	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	5	-5	14.2	15.4	-1.26	15.8	15.2	0.62
Lorenzen Wright	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	-1	7	15.7	13.9	1.82	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Charles Smith	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	15.2	14.4	0.71	12.1	16.2	-4.06
Maurice Taylor	38	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	15.1	14.2	0.86	16.1	15.3	0.81
Pooh Richardson	34	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	11	-17	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.6	15.6	0.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	28	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-8	11	14.8	15.9	-1.12	14.9	14.4	0.52
Duane Ferrell	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-5	5	0.0	15.6	-15.61	18.0	14.5	3.50
Gerald Madkins	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	12.7	16.0	-3.27	15.5	14.4	1.10
Jason Caffey	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	12.5	16.4	-3.85	13.9	14.7	-0.74
Tony Delk	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	15.8	15.4	0.41	14.9	14.2	0.66
Muggsy Bogues	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	15.3	16.3	-1.00	13.9	16.3	-2.42
Jim Jackson	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	16.5	13.1	3.43	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Erick Dampier	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.9	14.6	1.33	14.9	13.4	1.48
Clar. Weatherspoon	80	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	4	-13	16.1	13.1	2.99	14.6	14.1	0.53
Donyell Marshall	78	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-1	-3	15.6	15.8	-0.20	14.4	15.2	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 127, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.42,0	91.8%
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	91.4%
POR 93, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.0%