NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	8.7 [132]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (POR): +32.3%
Golden State Warriors	91		Comeback	7.6 [103]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -25.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.17,0.32	-0.01	0.33	0.00	13	48%	0.37	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.08
Gerald Wallace	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	-0.01	13	71%	0.51	3	-0.28	8	100%	0.08
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Elliot Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	12	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.09	-0.18	-0.01	15	33%	-0.17	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.13	0.00	20	66%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	15	62%	0.11	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.13
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	0.03	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	8	39%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	3.5	29.7	17.8	26.5	3.3	40.3	144.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.5%

POR +12.4%

POR +26.8%

GSW -33.8%

POR +15.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	17.6	14.9	15.6	104.5	103.4	102.8
season	15.7	15.2		104.1	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.9	18.0	18.2	16.4	17.6
GSW	15.5	13.3	17.8	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	63	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-3	8	18.4	15.6	2.78	15.5	13.4	2.04
Wesley Matthews	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.54	0	2	-2	17.3	18.3	-1.02	15.0	14.7	0.29
Raymond Felton	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-3	8	17.8	16.7	1.08	15.5	12.7	2.79
Jamal Crawford	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-5	12	16.6	19.2	-2.62	13.8	16.8	-3.06
Gerald Wallace	70	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.58	-6	8	-14	18.2	15.2	3.08	15.3	13.8	1.41
Marcus Camby	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	0	2	19.0	15.4	3.61	15.4	14.2	1.23
Kurt Thomas	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	-4	10	14.1	19.0	-4.87	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Craig Smith	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	-3	8	16.3	18.0	-1.78	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Chris Johnson	5	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	16.8	17.6	-0.83	12.4	15.1	-2.70
Elliot Williams	15	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	8	-14	18.1	17.5	0.58	13.3	15.3	-1.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	27	26	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-7	12	17.8	13.7	4.09	20.2	16.5	3.74
Dorell Wright	48	48	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	16.0	13.6	2.37	18.4	16.6	1.81
Monta Ellis	46	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-7	12	16.0	13.8	2.21	18.7	16.3	2.35
Stephen Curry	68	71	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-9	16	15.3	13.7	1.61	17.5	18.0	-0.52
Ekpe Udoh	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	5	-12	13.0	16.5	-3.47	16.6	18.4	-1.74
David Lee	73	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	0	-2	15.6	11.5	4.11	17.7	17.0	0.68
Dominic McGuire	8	5	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	2	-6	13.0	15.1	-2.14	19.8	17.5	2.35
Nate Robinson	41	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.13	16.8	18.3	-1.56
Klay Thompson	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	13.8	16.0	-2.21	16.3	18.7	-2.35
Brandon Rush	47	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	5	-12	13.5	16.6	-3.03	16.6	18.7	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	91.8%
BKN 96, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	91.7%
LAL 96, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.78,0.67,0.42,0	91.5%