NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	7.3 [330]		MVP	Muggsy Bogues (GSW): +10.6%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	1.6 [134]		LVP	Jim Jackson (GSW): -31.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	5	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	9	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	32%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	17	51%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Todd Fuller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31	-0.20	-0.12	-0.01	14	31%	-0.16	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.07	0.02	17	49%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Brooks Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	4	20%	-0.06	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	22	51%	0.06	5	-0.24	5	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	21.5	15.7	24.3	2.5	38.3	126.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -10.2%

GSW +19.3%

GSW +15.8%

GSW +21.6%

GSW +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	94.6	90.1	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		92.9	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.0		98.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	17.7	16.0	17.3	16.0
NYK	14.8	14.4	15.3	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	74	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	15.6	17.6	-1.96	15.8	14.0	1.84
Muggsy Bogues	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	15.7	16.6	-0.92	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Erick Dampier	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	16.2	15.1	1.13	16.4	10.7	5.70
Clar. Weatherspoon	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	6	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.23	14.6	17.4	-2.77
Jim Jackson	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	4	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.46	15.8	14.7	1.07
Felton Spencer	5	4	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	0	5	12.4	16.2	-3.78	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Tony Delk	35	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	2	1	16.7	15.5	1.23	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Bimbo Coles	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	15.0	16.3	-1.21	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Jason Caffey	47	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	16.7	15.2	1.44	16.1	14.8	1.29
Todd Fuller	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	18.3	15.7	2.61	10.2	16.1	-5.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brooks Thompson	12	11	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-7	9	13.0	15.9	-2.87	18.5	15.6	2.81
Chris Mills	39	41	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.1	16.5	-2.44	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Terry Cummings	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	13.2	16.0	-2.85	15.8	16.0	-0.26
Chris Dudley	54	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.4	1.84	15.5	16.6	-1.02
Charles Oakley	78	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-10	15	15.4	16.2	-0.77	16.7	12.0	4.69
John Starks	45	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.6	15.4	0.21	16.0	16.0	0.04
Allan Houston	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	15.8	14.5	1.31	16.1	15.7	0.39
Larry Johnson	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	4	-13	16.0	14.2	1.82	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Charlie Ward	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	3	-11	15.9	13.4	2.51	15.5	18.5	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.28,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0	91.8%
TOR 105, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.46,0.32,0.22,0.05,0.05,0	91.8%
LAL 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.04,0,0	91.6%