NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	8.5 [161]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +50.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.4 [682]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -21.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	16	65%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23	0.07	0.18	0.02	11	60%	0.28	2	-0.05	18	89%	0.11
Jose Calderon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	5	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	11	62%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	4	58%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.12
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.5	0.50	0.18	0.33	-0.00	10	75%	0.50	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.10
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	21	57%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	15	41%	-0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	28.2	15.5	27.7	2.0	39.0	138.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.3%

PHI -3.0%

TOR +30.7%

PHI -7.8%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.4	110.5	108.4	105.7
season	15.6	15.2		108.5	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.7		104.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	13.9	13.8	17.9	14.9
PHI	18.6	14.9	15.0	13.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	60	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	15.0	14.7	0.26	14.8	16.4	-1.62
Anthony Parker	75	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-8	18	14.7	15.8	-1.13	16.1	12.8	3.24
Jamario Moon	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-2	6	16.4	13.7	2.72	14.4	16.2	-1.76
T.J. Ford	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	14.7	15.3	-0.53	15.7	14.8	0.94
Chris Bosh	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	2	-2	14.7	15.7	-1.04	15.7	14.3	1.38
Rasho Nesterovic	26	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	12.6	15.8	-3.21	16.7	15.0	1.79
Andrea Bargnani	46	46	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	4	-6	15.0	14.8	0.27	15.6	15.2	0.34
Jose Calderon	30	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	4	-6	15.3	14.7	0.53	14.1	16.1	-1.94
Jason Kapono	37	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	14.5	15.1	-0.60	16.2	14.9	1.26
Juan Dixon	20	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	10	-18	15.8	14.7	1.13	12.8	16.1	-3.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	38	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-14	26	14.1	16.3	-2.18	15.8	14.3	1.55
Jason Smith	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-4	6	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Andre Iguodala	87	88	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.45	9	-11	20	15.2	17.2	-2.01	14.8	16.4	-1.64
Willie Green	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	7	-16	16.6	13.8	2.82	14.2	15.8	-1.66
Rodney Carney	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Reggie Evans	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	7	-16	16.6	14.4	2.14	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Lou Williams	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	13.6	16.7	-3.04	16.3	13.9	2.37
Andre Miller	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	15.7	14.5	1.24	15.3	13.6	1.77
Calvin Booth	23	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	8	-18	17.0	14.9	2.15	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Kyle Korver	55	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.3	14.3	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.46,0.32,0.22,0.05,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.2%
IND 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.02,0	92.6%
POR 105, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.03,0,0	92.4%