NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	6.8 [478]		MVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): +12.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	1.3 [495]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -23.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.07	0.05	31	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	3	82%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	60%	0.10	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.10	-0.03	19	39%	-0.10	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	30.7	15.5	25.5	2.5	28.2	129.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.3%

CLE -11.0%

CLE -11.5%

HOU +28.2%

CLE -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.5	105.4	93.5	104.0
season	16.0	16.2		104.2	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		103.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	16.2	15.6	16.2	15.5
CLE	15.4	17.3	13.2	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	44	42	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-3	17	16.6	14.5	2.14	16.6	14.5	2.11
Maurice Taylor	45	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-4	19	16.3	14.7	1.60	16.6	14.5	2.06
Bob Sura	62	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	15.1	16.3	-1.26	15.9	14.6	1.26
Tracy McGrady	88	89	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	15.6	12.8	2.84	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Dikembe Mutombo	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	6	-1	17.2	14.2	3.01	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Yao Ming	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	5	1	14.2	17.2	-3.01	15.6	15.4	0.17
Jon Barry	60	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	12	-13	14.8	16.7	-1.93	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Juwan Howard	48	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	15	-19	14.7	16.3	-1.60	14.5	16.6	-2.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	77	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-13	15	14.7	19.1	-4.40	15.9	12.9	3.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	72	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	15.1	16.8	-1.65	14.6	18.4	-3.74
Lucious Harris	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.4	0.25	16.2	14.9	1.31
Jeff McInnis	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	14.9	17.8	-2.90	14.9	18.1	-3.26
LeBron James	36	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	-1	-9	15.9	15.2	0.66	13.8	16.5	-2.71
Anderson Varejao	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	17.1	14.9	2.19	17.0	15.0	1.96
Robert Traylor	21	21	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	16.8	15.1	1.65	18.4	14.6	3.74
Drew Gooden	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	0	-11	15.5	15.3	0.19	14.8	18.0	-3.16
Eric Snow	43	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	5	-21	16.4	14.7	1.78	16.7	14.4	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.6%
SAS 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.6%
MIA 97, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.15,0	93.5%