inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 110 Excitement8.1 [222] MVPBob Sura (GSW): +7.4%
Golden State Warriors 102 Comeback1.7 [910] LVPAdonal Foyle (GSW): -15.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00383%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Devean George0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.03-0.02744%0.051-0.042100%0.02
Rick Fox-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.020.010.031162%0.042-0.044100%0.01
Kobe Bryant-0.020,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.001458%0.053-0.07887%0.02
Jelani McCoy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01540%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Slava Medvedenko-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.00825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.050.011146%-0.0800.00683%0.02
Lindsey Hunter-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.110,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.2,-0.25,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.19,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11-0.120.00-0.002059%0.116-0.222850%-0.15

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.030.050.01774%0.122-0.05978%0.03
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.002100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Dean Oliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00350%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.001045%0.051-0.072100%0.03
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.02714%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.011058%0.014-0.07683%0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.070.042248%-0.062-0.08475%-0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.09-0.021948%-0.022-0.121060%-0.07
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.08-0.00729%-0.082-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.527.516.533.21.842.2150.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +16.2%
LAL +4.6%
LAL +24.4%
LAL +0.3%
LAL +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALGSWNBALALGSWNBA
this game13.813.715.6105.896.2102.3
season15.314.7106.9100.7
opponent15.115.4106.299.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.213.213.913.813.8
GSW13.516.212.812.413.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal89900.63-0.130.760.2513-51815.06.78.2914.59.15.43
Derek Fisher65660.61-0.110.720.2014-62013.015.1-2.1113.713.60.03
Devean George48490.52-0.020.550.3271612.315.0-2.7612.814.4-1.55
Mitch Richmond30290.340.160.18-0.0112-41612.714.2-1.4914.213.50.79
Kobe Bryant86890.320.180.140.2044013.614.5-0.9013.514.6-1.16
Rick Fox58590.150.35-0.200.21-210-1215.411.73.7013.913.30.59
Robert Horry67700.130.37-0.240.0726-414.512.42.0613.414.2-0.75
Mark Madsen990.020.48-0.470.05-19-102.014.9-12.878.314.2-5.83
Jelani McCoy44-0.010.51-0.52-0.0417-613.013.8-0.7912.213.7-1.48
Slava Medvedenko2525-0.100.60-0.700.02-412-1612.814.1-1.3214.613.41.22
Lindsey Hunter3940-0.110.61-0.720.07-614-2015.113.02.1113.613.7-0.03

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Fortson53530.24-0.740.980.047-152214.213.20.9615.312.23.15
Dean Oliver11-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-887.013.7-6.734.013.9-9.85
Erick Dampier2629-0.05-0.450.390.03-3-5215.113.21.8615.113.21.86
Adonal Foyle6057-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-7613.913.30.6514.912.42.43
Troy Murphy3028-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-4-4013.313.8-0.4711.514.6-3.14
Larry Hughes4039-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-113-1413.114.0-0.8311.914.9-2.94
Bob Sura5451-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-3-212.814.6-1.8612.914.6-1.68
Antawn Jamison9594-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-5213.515.0-1.4813.912.11.84
Jason Richardson9592-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-80-813.614.2-0.5713.416.5-3.10
Gilbert Arenas7676-0.650.15-0.81-0.30-124-1614.012.71.3114.113.01.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.04,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 98, CLE 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0,092.5%
TOR 105, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.46,0.32,0.22,0.05,0.05,092.3%
UTA 109, LAL 980.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.02,092.2%