NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	7.3 [326]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (UTA): +15.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.6 [358]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -17.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.12	0.00	9	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	6	106%	0.18	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Morris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	22	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
John Stockton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	56%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	19	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	30	53%	0.11	5	-0.11	13	38%	-0.08
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	13	31%	-0.14	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	4	57%	-0.06	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	35.4	17.6	30.2	2.7	37.1	147.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.2%

UTA +4.4%

LAL -3.5%

LAL -3.4%

LAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.6	113.5	102.1	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		108.1	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.3	17.0	15.5	16.0
LAL	16.4	13.0	12.5	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	40	40	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-6	23	16.2	15.8	0.40	14.9	13.3	1.63
Antoine Carr	35	36	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-9	29	12.7	17.9	-5.24	12.6	14.8	-2.27
Karl Malone	80	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	9	-7	15.6	18.1	-2.49	13.7	15.4	-1.72
John Stockton	51	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	8	-5	16.4	15.6	0.82	14.3	13.6	0.71
Bryon Russell	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	15.5	16.5	-1.06	15.9	12.1	3.79
Greg Ostertag	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	6	-1	18.0	13.8	4.21	14.4	13.6	0.79
Howard Eisley	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	3	5	15.6	16.4	-0.82	13.6	14.3	-0.71
Chris Morris	49	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	8	-5	16.9	15.1	1.81	12.1	15.9	-3.79
Greg Foster	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	17.2	15.5	1.69	16.1	13.2	2.90
Jeff Hornacek	56	56	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	17	-23	15.8	16.2	-0.40	13.3	14.9	-1.63

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	33	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-9	7	12.8	14.6	-1.75	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Derek Fisher	32	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-15	19	14.9	13.5	1.36	17.7	15.1	2.64
Corie Blount	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-9	7	11.4	15.1	-3.66	15.6	16.1	-0.55
Elden Campbell	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-4	-3	13.7	14.1	-0.39	14.2	16.4	-2.28
Robert Horry	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-7	3	14.9	12.0	2.91	16.1	15.8	0.32
Shaquille O'Neal	79	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.2	12.9	1.36	16.5	13.4	3.07
Eddie Jones	91	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-3	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.63	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Nick Van Exel	61	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	2	-15	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Rick Fox	71	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	3	-17	14.3	13.3	0.97	16.2	15.4	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.5%
LAL 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.04,0,0	92.2%
UTA 97, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.1%