NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	6.7 [429]		MVP	Steve Novak (HOU): +21.9%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.6 [478]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -21.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.16		0.12	0.07	0.02	9	81%	0.20	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.14		0.04	0.10	0.00	7	56%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ronnie Price	0.07		0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07		0.02	0.06	0.01	12	61%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.01		0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00		0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01		-0.04	0.04	0.01	14	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02		-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03		-0.01	0.02	0.04	10	63%	0.09	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	-0.06		-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak		0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	4	125%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier		0.15	0.13	0.07	0.05	9	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks		0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes		-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola		-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	12	50%	-0.08
Luther Head		-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells		-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry		-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston		-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	31%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady		-0.21	-0.10	-0.07	0.04	24	41%	-0.08	4	-0.13	3	0%	-0.10

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	56	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-5	18	16.3	14.7	1.65	17.1	15.5	1.60
Kyle Korver	44	44	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-4	16	14.7	16.7	-2.03	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Mehmet Okur	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-2	12	15.6	16.5	-0.92	16.7	14.8	1.89
Carlos Boozer	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	16.4	13.4	2.91	16.7	15.8	0.86
Deron Williams	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	15.9	15.0	0.85	16.9	15.1	1.73
Ronnie Price	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	8	-8	15.0	15.9	-0.85	15.1	16.9	-1.73
CJ Miles	2	3	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	8	-8	18.5	15.6	2.86	13.0	16.6	-3.59
Paul Millsap	32	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	14.6	16.3	-1.74	15.4	17.1	-1.65
Ronnie Brewer	43	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	12	-16	16.6	14.8	1.78	16.8	16.1	0.67
Matt Harpring	33	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	14.7	16.3	-1.65	15.5	17.1	-1.60

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	10	9	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-16	24	15.8	16.5	-0.75	20.0	15.2	4.77
Luther Head	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	14.9	16.8	-1.84	12.5	16.3	-3.81
Bonzi Wells	19	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-6	4	14.6	17.0	-2.33	13.2	16.3	-3.13
Aaron Brooks	31	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	16.1	16.6	-0.52	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Charles Hayes	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	1	-10	17.2	15.7	1.53	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Rafer Alston	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	16.6	16.1	0.52	16.1	14.8	1.31
Luis Scola	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-7	6	16.2	17.9	-1.76	16.1	13.6	2.54
Shane Battier	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	16.8	15.7	1.03	16.0	14.9	1.14
Carl Landry	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	2	-12	17.0	16.0	1.04	14.3	16.9	-2.67
Tracy McGrady	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	16.7	15.7	0.92	16.4	13.1	3.38