inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 72 Excitement3.2 [1118] MVPJoe Smith (GSW): +7.3%
Detroit Pistons 101 Comeback1.9 [1091] LVPDonyell Marshall (GSW): -10.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.070,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.00-0.011262%0.0700.002100%-0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.05520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Ferrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Carl Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Tony Delk-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.01-0.041345%0.023-0.05560%-0.00
Felton Spencer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0100%-0.031-0.0120%-0.03
Adonal Foyle-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.04330%-0.032-0.02425%-0.03
Bimbo Coles-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.011041%-0.043-0.05250%-0.01
Brian Shaw-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.01650%-0.024-0.0800%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.001146%-0.023-0.08250%-0.01
Donyell Marshall-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.03825%-0.053-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bison Dele0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.041155%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00480%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02545%0.0200.001100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.031450%0.0010.001090%0.02
Charles O'Bannon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Mahorn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03567%0.011-0.032100%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.031254%-0.024-0.002100%-0.00
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.011639%-0.061-0.01450%-0.04
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.000.01731%-0.071-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.322.315.726.62.324.3117.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +11.0%
DET +13.8%
DET +6.2%
DET +22.5%
GSW -3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDETNBAGSWDETNBA
this game15.415.615.677.4108.6102.5
season15.615.992.9102.8
opponent15.915.0101.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.515.716.814.515.4
DET15.517.013.816.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle37370.03-0.530.560.12-3-262313.516.6-3.0316.415.11.29
Duane Ferrell1920-0.04-0.460.420.17-7-221515.115.4-0.3915.715.60.19
Carl Thomas2121-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-252114.215.7-1.4615.515.6-0.16
Todd Fuller2828-0.12-0.380.250.20-11-18714.915.6-0.6813.716.4-2.70
Felton Spencer2322-0.19-0.310.110.16-12-17515.715.30.3811.816.8-5.02
Tony Delk5049-0.25-0.250.000.34-20-9-1115.315.4-0.1014.816.5-1.79
Brian Shaw5050-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.03-9-201114.616.3-1.7015.815.30.47
Erick Dampier5555-0.31-0.19-0.110.07-13-16315.814.80.9717.013.63.33
Donyell Marshall5555-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-14-115.914.71.2016.514.32.26
Bimbo Coles6566-0.40-0.10-0.310.33-25-4-2116.413.03.3316.114.41.74
Joe Smith6262-0.48-0.02-0.450.29-26-3-2315.914.41.5215.316.3-0.98

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse64650.470.030.45-0.031712515.316.3-1.0815.315.4-0.09
Grant Hill70680.450.050.40-0.4330-13115.715.20.5716.213.03.24
Joe Dumars56590.360.140.22-0.021316-315.615.6-0.0815.515.10.39
Grant Long34330.340.160.18-0.131613316.415.21.1816.714.62.02
Bison Dele44450.290.210.08-0.061217-516.514.81.7915.914.81.10
Malik Sealy61610.210.29-0.08-0.231514115.715.50.2015.016.2-1.21
Jerome Williams41410.190.31-0.12-0.221415-114.716.3-1.6015.615.20.48
Rick Mahorn32330.120.38-0.27-0.241217-515.015.9-0.9715.115.5-0.38
Eric Montross25240.060.44-0.37-0.05425-2115.415.7-0.2814.215.8-1.62
Charles O'Bannon20190.000.50-0.49-0.23821-1315.715.60.1214.115.7-1.58
Don Reid10100.000.50-0.500.00029-2915.115.7-0.5611.115.9-4.78
Scot Pollard870.000.50-0.50-0.12425-2116.515.50.9813.015.6-2.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 77, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
POR 93, BOS 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAC 86, MIA 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%