NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Excitement	3.2 [1165]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +7.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.9 [1247]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -9.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	5	92%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	9	63%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	32%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	13	35%	-0.05	3	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	13	52%	0.08	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	69%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	24.3	15.4	24.6	2.5	27.3	118.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.7%

MEM +1.8%

MEM +3.8%

MEM +0.2%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.4	87.5	104.5	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		101.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	15.5	18.7	13.5	16.1
MEM	16.2	17.2	13.4	20.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-22	29	14.2	18.0	-3.80	17.3	16.0	1.31
Alexey Shved	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-19	23	14.2	18.0	-3.85	17.8	15.5	2.27
Dante Cunningham	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-16	17	14.4	17.5	-3.12	18.3	15.2	3.12
Jose Juan Barea	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-15	15	14.4	18.3	-3.94	17.3	15.8	1.54
Mickael Gelabale	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-12	9	14.9	18.4	-3.53	16.9	16.1	0.85
Andrei Kirilenko	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-3	-9	18.4	14.9	3.53	16.1	16.9	-0.85
Ricky Rubio	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	0	-15	18.3	14.4	3.94	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Derrick Williams	47	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	1	-17	17.5	14.4	3.12	15.2	18.3	-3.12
Luke Ridnour	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	4	-23	18.0	14.2	3.85	15.5	17.8	-2.27
Nikola Pekovic	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	7	-29	18.0	14.2	3.80	16.0	17.3	-1.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	-10	35	16.3	17.4	-1.09	17.8	12.6	5.16
Marc Gasol	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.02	17	-2	19	16.2	17.6	-1.31	17.2	13.6	3.57
Zach Randolph	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-5	25	15.9	18.3	-2.38	17.8	12.2	5.62
Tayshaun Prince	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-1	17	16.4	17.3	-0.95	17.3	12.5	4.71
Tony Allen	29	30	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	2	11	17.4	16.3	1.19	18.6	14.8	3.87
Jerryd Bayless	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	11	-7	15.8	17.8	-2.01	14.4	18.2	-3.77
Quincy Pondexter	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	20	-25	17.7	15.6	2.07	13.8	18.2	-4.39
Ed Davis	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	19	-23	17.2	16.3	0.90	13.3	17.8	-4.49
Austin Daye	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	23	-31	17.7	16.2	1.44	12.7	17.4	-4.75
Tony Wroten	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	18	-21	19.5	16.2	3.30	10.6	17.0	-6.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 72, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 98, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
BKN 96, NYK 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%